CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ENCE (BO3) - Copenhagen Gaming Week Showdown Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9dc26043fbda573873501919af6c102b5bd1d6ad989eb9c6c30d06a25f8b66a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- illwillof illwill, ENCE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef26…05babacked illwill | 50c | 6,246$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,125.86 | 605 | 40%242 W · 363 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc24…c8c4backed ENCE | 50c | 4,148$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.43 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d3…5ea8backed ENCE | 50c | 1,145$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.21 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed ENCE | 50c | 500.91$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.47 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked ENCE | 7c | 421.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed ENCE | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed ENCE | 18c | 284.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afe…aec0backed illwill | 80c | 226.25$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed illwill | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4725…619bbacked ENCE | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed ENCE | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 528 | 50.6%267 W · 261 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed ENCE | 22c | 79.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5f…e7f9backed ENCE | 30c | 59.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d2…3c94backed illwill | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed illwill | 58c | 43.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked ENCE | 50c | 30.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e70…7214backed ENCE | 66c | 17.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs ENCE (BO3) - Copenhagen Gaming Week Showdown Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs ENCE - Map 1 Winnerillwill won
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs ENCE - Map 2 Winnerillwill won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.