Earnings · resolved market
Will Grab Holdings (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8960b992d2f8a54e0e21c49d4ef13f80d9998433072977da3ce42c136eef3cd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9256…2e8bbacked No | 53c | 6,524$3,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,038.24 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Yes | 64c | 5,113$3,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,262.78 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 39c | 2,636$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.32 | 760 | 37.6%286 W · 474 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf1…98cbbacked No | 47c | 699.92$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc942…a1cfbacked Yes | 4c | 501.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5986…83e3backed Yes | 56c | 499.99$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…8d11backed No | 42c | 496.26$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.84 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Yes | 51c | 479.5$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.49 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 62c | 477.77$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.16 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551b…29bfbacked Yes | 48c | 417.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 37c | 399.97$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.98 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ade…932abacked Yes | 64c | 348.67$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d5…55b0backed Yes | 61c | 287.59$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbea6…aed7backed Yes | 55c | 264.42$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…ab60backed No | 46c | 262.56$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.79 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 38c | 223.55$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.6 | 189 | 41.3%78 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10bb…d49dbacked Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.7 | 102 | 72.5%74 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 62c | 199.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 34c | 199.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 42c | 199.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.39 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ab…8231backed Yes | 66c | 181.65$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.89 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…a303backed Yes | 59c | 181.05$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 53c | 174.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 64c | 170.86$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.56 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…3340backed No | 62c | 160.34$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f76…e72bbacked Yes | 62c | 160.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 70cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 63c | 159$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.77 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67df…772fbacked Yes | 63c | 147.57$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 37c | 134.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.92 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked Yes | 63c | 126.52$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed No | 41c | 126$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 66c | 107.08$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.67 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 38c | 106$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 155 | 64.5%100 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed No | 37c | 103$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…53b4backed Yes | 51c | 101.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5343…0b0fbacked Yes | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 117 | 71.8%84 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed Yes | 58c | 99.95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0264…91acbacked Yes | 53c | 94.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…96fabacked Yes | 53c | 93.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…2e68backed Yes | 57c | 87.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…4547backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f8…6620backed Yes | 62c | 81.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b01…7481backed Yes | 50c | 75.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5f…e7f9backed Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…d823backed Yes | 34c | 72.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82e…370ebacked Yes | 63c | 71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf57…053bbacked No | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…393bbacked Yes | 52c | 67.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad26…3cd6backed No | 32c | 56.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…e4e1backed Yes | 51c | 51.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed No | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…cb0abacked No | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…b0ccbacked Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…1f3fbacked No | 46c | 43.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…852fbacked Yes | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…9e17backed Yes | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8b…6fc5backed Yes | 50c | 39.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…26babacked Yes | 51c | 39.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a74…c3e4backed No | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbf…e5ffbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 59c | 36.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd4…d37abacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…c706backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d93…a559backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…1570backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6113…9d20backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d27…4f3cbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…14d4backed Yes | 64c | 31.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…cbe8backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3029…0ab1backed No | 66c | 30.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…f4aebacked No | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a109backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…e5c6backed No | 44c | 28.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 65c | 24.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…476fbacked Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d9…8169backed Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 73c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 58c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 74c | 20.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…d8cdbacked Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…0013backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ce…b432backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…8aacbacked Yes | 60c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb6…8d69backed No | 59c | 17.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…dc11backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7c…6dddbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.