Euroleague · resolved market
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf2e27571b619e40b592d11bf023de15c9bbf4681b79a0b0a2f1577c6e3f6965
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Bayern Munchenof FC Bayern Munchen, Maccabi Tel Aviv
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7203…22d6backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 54c | 7,047$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800.46 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FC Bayern Munchen | 46c | 4,766$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,554.61 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 52c | 2,886$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 48c | 2,425$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.75 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked FC Bayern Munchen | 48c | 909.46$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.51 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 44c | 680.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed FC Bayern Munchen | 55c | 466.24$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.18 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 52c | 379.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed FC Bayern Munchen | 56c | 373.56$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.97 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed FC Bayern Munchen | 48c | 372.08$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.48 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 47c | 372$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.16 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…3438backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 43c | 329.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6519…76cabacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 44c | 304.18$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.88 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed FC Bayern Munchen | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed FC Bayern Munchen | 53c | 235$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed FC Bayern Munchen | 67c | 217.51$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.09 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 50c | 200.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed FC Bayern Munchen | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed FC Bayern Munchen | 52c | 193.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.03 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9147…0d0abacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 45c | 185.25$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.28 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 34c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed FC Bayern Munchen | 75c | 137.23$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 62c | 133$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…65fabacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 52c | 119.23$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5f…e7f9backed FC Bayern Munchen | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…5f9cbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed FC Bayern Munchen | 44c | 80.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x406c…c58ebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 53c | 76.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed4…8c3cbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 53c | 75.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 54c | 59.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 53cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 38c | 57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FC Bayern Munchen | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…47eebacked FC Bayern Munchen | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e5…4845backed FC Bayern Munchen | 51c | 49.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed FC Bayern Munchen | 47c | 46.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed FC Bayern Munchen | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…57f1backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8a…7fd4backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 52c | 38.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc888…3566backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 52c | 37.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 46c | 32.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 52c | 31.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed FC Bayern Munchen | 48c | 24.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed FC Bayern Munchen | 48c | 23.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FC Bayern Munchen | 72c | 19.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.