CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cb26300795486cfd155bdc3b4326e206465e4a1adadc1fe08b2538fccf30e2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VP.Prodigyof Phantom, VP.Prodigy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Phantom | 1c | 3,693$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed VP.Prodigy | 57c | 2,905$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.95 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e0…375bbacked Phantom | 29c | 1,702$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc537…f385backed Phantom | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8348…de9fbacked Phantom | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Phantom | 48c | 890.77$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.53 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Phantom | 64c | 873.49$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.28 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Phantom | 28c | 816.73$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.21 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed VP.Prodigy | 54c | 705$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.35 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…7954backed VP.Prodigy | 52c | 669.46$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.46 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed VP.Prodigy | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ed…4ec5backed VP.Prodigy | 23c | 478.49$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.77 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Phantom | 63c | 359.1$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f5…c12bbacked Phantom | 38c | 354.17$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x494c…8923backed Phantom | 50c | 350.85$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Phantom | 57c | 348.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.69 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked Phantom | 74c | 317.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.31 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Phantom | 57c | 305.39$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…c65cbacked VP.Prodigy | 26c | 305.39$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phantom | 54c | 285.23$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.61 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…7b98backed VP.Prodigy | 52c | 268.3$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked VP.Prodigy | 47c | 233.53$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.62 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Phantom | 74c | 193$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.62 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…f616backed VP.Prodigy | 69c | 176.34$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Phantom | 69c | 174.07$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.45 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Phantom | 47c | 162.53$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.47 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Phantom | 69c | 145.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed VP.Prodigy | 45c | 132.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Phantom | 49c | 126.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…3bbebacked Phantom | 30c | 118.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 384 | 52.1%200 W · 184 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…88dbbacked Phantom | 24c | 106.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Phantom | 61c | 100.93$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Phantom | 59c | 100.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked VP.Prodigy | 47c | 100.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…330abacked VP.Prodigy | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Phantom | 54c | 96.28$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf86f…0292backed Phantom | 19c | 75.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…e899backed VP.Prodigy | 67c | 67.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d20…1f58backed Phantom | 18c | 61.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked VP.Prodigy | 25c | 61.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked VP.Prodigy | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed VP.Prodigy | 57c | 56.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Phantom | 59c | 50.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5f…e7f9backed Phantom | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…66bdbacked Phantom | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed VP.Prodigy | 30c | 49.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.37 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed VP.Prodigy | 45c | 47.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Phantom | 26c | 46.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Phantom | 36c | 46.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked VP.Prodigy | 61c | 42.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca3…ac80backed Phantom | 60c | 41.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…9cf6backed VP.Prodigy | 49c | 40.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Phantom | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7bb…3282backed Phantom | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3d…eaa0backed VP.Prodigy | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…3b29backed Phantom | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked Phantom | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Phantom | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs VP.Prodigy - Map 1 WinnerPhantom won
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs VP.Prodigy - Map 2 WinnerVP.Prodigy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.