Tennis · resolved market
Dallas Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Rafael Jodar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6320f810be6ff20fe2c79dc82f9c9912fa445f210e4d85b59c713b68f9d8f113
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shapovalovof Shapovalov, Jodar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Jodar | 19c | 46,660$9,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,049.3 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Shapovalov | 57c | 25,936$14,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,218.46 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Jodar | 43c | 12,000$5,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,160 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Jodar | 49c | 11,959$5,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,879.55 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Jodar | 49c | 10,133$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Shapovalov | 63c | 8,350$5,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.31 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Shapovalov | 51c | 7,843$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,843.14 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Shapovalov | 55c | 6,702$3,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,015.77 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Shapovalov | 69c | 6,126$4,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.86 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Shapovalov | 73c | 5,502$4,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.15 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Jodar | 44c | 5,148$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.3 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jodar | 32c | 5,108$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.89 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jodar | 39c | 5,012$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.61 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Shapovalov | 56c | 4,640$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.71 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jodar | 30c | 4,594$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.12 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jodar | 41c | 4,515$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.74 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Shapovalov | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Shapovalov | 62c | 2,476$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.16 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Shapovalov | 61c | 2,244$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.3 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…4dd0backed Shapovalov | 64c | 2,122$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Jodar | 47c | 2,119$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9963…32e4backed Shapovalov | 52c | 1,987$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.4 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Shapovalov | 54c | 1,837$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.49 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Jodar | 47c | 1,752$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.26 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Jodar | 1c | 1,636$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jodar | 38c | 1,527$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.11 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Shapovalov | 49c | 1,478$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.03 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x241a…a9c8backed Shapovalov | 49c | 1,450$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.46 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3905…82fcbacked Shapovalov | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Jodar | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Jodar | 48c | 1,041$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.22 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Jodar | 47c | 1,009$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Jodar | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Shapovalov | 50c | 983.64$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.14 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Jodar | 51c | 918.3$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.06 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Shapovalov | 58c | 888.17$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.32 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Shapovalov | 54c | 788.89$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.89 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Jodar | 28c | 759.97$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.79 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Shapovalov | 63c | 758.73$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.73 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Jodar | 46c | 677$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.42 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Jodar | 47c | 634.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Jodar | 44c | 617.02$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.75 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Shapovalov | 74c | 608.11$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.11 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Jodar | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Shapovalov | 54c | 557.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.09 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Shapovalov | 56c | 537.06$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.4 | 365 | 54.2%198 W · 167 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Jodar | 47c | 510.64$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Shapovalov | 50c | 500$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 246 | 43.9%108 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Shapovalov | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Shapovalov | 57c | 486.34$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.12 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…dd5ebacked Jodar | 44c | 416.43$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.23 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Shapovalov | 55c | 413.39$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.86 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Shapovalov | 51c | 402.43$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.19 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Jodar | 43c | 353.21$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.14 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aed…37c0backed Jodar | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Shapovalov | 57c | 309.63$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.61 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Jodar | 49c | 308.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Jodar | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Jodar | 23c | 299.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Shapovalov | 54c | 288.89$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.89 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe792…80bcbacked Jodar | 46c | 274.64$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Jodar | 46c | 272$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.12 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Shapovalov | 57c | 271.95$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.94 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…8083backed Shapovalov | 54c | 270.37$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Shapovalov | 70c | 263$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.88 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Shapovalov | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Jodar | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Shapovalov | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Shapovalov | 78c | 237.02$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…dea9backed Shapovalov | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Jodar | 45c | 221.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Shapovalov | 73c | 220.15$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dc…f75cbacked Jodar | 48c | 220$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Shapovalov | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fa…f25ebacked Shapovalov | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Shapovalov | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Shapovalov | 55c | 208.29$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.4 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Shapovalov | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Shapovalov | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Shapovalov | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Jodar | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Jodar | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Shapovalov | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Jodar | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5f…6cecbacked Shapovalov | 73c | 197.26$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 277 | 49.8%138 W · 139 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464f…7bffbacked Jodar | 32c | 195.56$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Jodar | 48c | 185.37$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.35 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Jodar | 47c | 182.13$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.3 | 283 | 38.9%110 W · 173 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9d24backed Shapovalov | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8f…8ed0backed Shapovalov | 55c | 181.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.55 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Jodar | 50c | 179.76$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Jodar | 41c | 173.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.14 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Shapovalov | 55c | 170$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Shapovalov | 59c | 169.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.66 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…bdf1backed Jodar | 29c | 168$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Shapovalov | 55c | 163.64$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75d…9d01backed Shapovalov | 77c | 149.35$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Shapovalov | 58c | 148.36$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Shapovalov | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 172 | 60.5%104 W · 68 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Jodar | 45c | 145.4$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.43 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Rafael Jodarthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Shapovalov vs JodarShapovalov won
- Set Handicap: Shapovalov (-1.5) vs Jodar (+1.5)Shapovalov won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.