TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

O/U 52.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,220
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,828

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,220 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Under54c17,054$9,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,245.9958850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Under53c14,218$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5002842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over45c13,984$6,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,631.682,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over46c13,553$6,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,298.7952449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over47c8,090$3,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,287.4593548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Under54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7006046.7%28 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Under56c4,100$2,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,285.918749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under55c2,909$1,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60465945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under54c2,673$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.2748546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under53c2,270$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.11376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+55.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Under53c1,535$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.5517361.3%106 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over45c1,381$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.555942.4%25 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Under54c1,165$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6292441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-25.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Over49c1,022$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.293852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Over45c950$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.520450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under55c764$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.219051.6%98 W · 92 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Under29c740.47$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.244833.3%16 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Over48c572$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.441855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over47c552$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.5526940.5%109 W · 160 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Under53c518.87$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2751735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Under53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2651225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Under52c476.21$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.996753.7%36 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e0a…69d3backed Under55c440$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2421560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x997a…1b8fbacked Under39c427.66$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under52c409$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.684643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Under55c363.96$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x705e…c57dbacked Under55c328.64$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.751060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under8c324.35$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2662843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over55c308$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.9957144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over45c263$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.659051.1%46 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Over47c255.32$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.32425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under54c229.83$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6828440.8%116 W · 168 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27db…e863backed Under55c220$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bd…56b6backed Over45c192.31$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.19475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+95.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under26c187.74$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0563243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x68c2…259dbacked Under56c175$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.51127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over58c124.22$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3420553.7%110 W · 95 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.47443.2%32 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Under57c115.79$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Under54c106$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.242050%10 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under58c104.44$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.434751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617a…07f8backed Under56c102.02$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.131216.7%2 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-67.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over48c101.08$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5610340.8%42 W · 61 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9363…fbfabacked Under52c101.08$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.564555.6%25 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ad7…c097backed Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe77f…e59abacked Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under36c98$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9610346.6%48 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Under53c95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.351656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7068…c63bbacked Under55c95$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeff8…1bcfbacked Under48c90$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Under54c86$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.441838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Over66c85$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.021650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Over44c70$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.24052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Over45c66.9$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.79475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+52.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over45c61.52$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1412346.3%57 W · 66 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under34c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.610850.9%55 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Over47c57.96$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7216050%80 W · 80 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Under52c57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.641145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…449cbacked Under53c54.72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Under54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec94…931ebacked Over44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Over62c47.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.822548%12 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22cd…640cbacked Over45c45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40ec…b9b8backed Over43c44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.67250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x832d…0997backed Under58c41.32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd5…88a8backed Over49c41.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Under47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.882450%12 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5931…08cbbacked Over46c39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.06683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+59.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ee…5c69backed Under55c39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.45955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x313d…6f98backed Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204261.9%26 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Under55c36.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.173435.3%12 W · 22 L-5.1wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-30.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x625a…7bb3backed Under55c35.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.37742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Over44c34.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.491040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Under38c31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.781275%9 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+46.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4cdb…ae41backed Over52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd368…1889backed Under54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.16241.9%26 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5266…ddaebacked Over46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb14…d929backed Over52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa029…c912backed Over52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a4e…e3a4backed Over46c29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.66728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-41.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf3e…390fbacked Over47c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.31771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under53c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7226939.8%107 W · 162 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f96…92e0backed Over48c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.52666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+38.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c8f…de8abacked Under54c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9f6…9cdabacked Over62c23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.74875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xedc2…e450backed Over46c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.42862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+29.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…9b15backed Over46c22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.881346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22e5…81acbacked Over46c22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.88540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Under53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.610757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.