La Liga · resolved market
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf4be214cfbee0d101174df5d390efbc6ac47f32a8f7b63bacbfa9424874efb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $322,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $338,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $322,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 51c | 145,842$75,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,841.6 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 57,852$27,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,872.7 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc933…5366backed Over | 58c | 21,501$12,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,394.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Over | 50c | 19,241$9,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,620.27 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 10,367$5,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,035.52 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 50c | 10,279$5,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,139.34 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 52c | 8,000$4,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,144.85 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Over | 48c | 7,822$3,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,754.64 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…8f58backed Over | 51c | 7,153$3,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,648.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 6,939$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,112.5 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Over | 51c | 6,704$3,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,396.69 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Over | 49c | 6,615$3,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,241.31 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…70a0backed Under | 79c | 6,338$5,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.18 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 48c | 5,726$2,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,977.55 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under | 50c | 5,267$2,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,636.51 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 50c | 4,130$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.04 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 40c | 3,097$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.84 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 54c | 3,067$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.52 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.99 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.86 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 21c | 2,209$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.99 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…bee7backed Under | 60c | 1,556$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…0823backed Over | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 27c | 1,377$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.54 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1842…b628backed Under | 45c | 1,366$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.27 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.31per pick | 70cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 49c | 1,359$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.4 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 48c | 1,354$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3e…0b87backed Over | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Under | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.12 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d4…770ebacked Over | 51c | 1,150$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.32 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 50c | 1,135$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.27 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 51c | 1,112$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -6.5wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under | 72c | 1,007$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.96 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 20c | 870.1$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.02 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under | 43c | 812.51$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.13 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…fa33backed Over | 51c | 784.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 48c | 753.7$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.49 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 696.81$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.5 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…3a3fbacked Over | 49c | 644.63$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 585.93$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.97 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 49c | 571$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.79 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Under | 54c | 557$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Under | 53c | 516.58$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.79 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -5.4wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -41%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 51c | 510.93$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.57 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Over | 50c | 501.58$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.79 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 52c | 490$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.71 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 69c | 436.68$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Under | 44c | 435.55$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.91 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Under | 50c | 418.9$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Under | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Over | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 50c | 396.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 369.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 50c | 337$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.5 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Over | 44c | 335.91$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.8 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 317.11$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.21 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 31c | 314.09$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.21 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…4399backed Over | 52c | 313.46$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 317 | 51.1%162 W · 155 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Over | 45c | 300$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…0cf1backed Under | 44c | 296.08$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…8982backed Over | 39c | 290.85$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.43 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf63…65dfbacked Over | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…0c28backed Over | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed Under | 63c | 250$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…d007backed Over | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…f1bbbacked Over | 50c | 212$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 50c | 209$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca6…0d08backed Under | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Under | 49c | 199.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.99 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 53c | 198.29$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.43 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe98…ce33backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…96b7backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 50c | 186.56$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.28 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e03…7f54backed Under | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ff…94f5backed Over | 51c | 160.92$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…4484backed Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a19…eb54backed Under | 51c | 148$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c77…bde7backed Under | 62c | 140.72$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked Over | 55c | 133.75$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.54 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Over | 57c | 130$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Over | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.02 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
- Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.