TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FC Barcelonaof FC Barcelona, Villarreal CF
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,654
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,650

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,654 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Villarreal CF68c80,653$55,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,0006566.2%43 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FC Barcelona32c43,461$13,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,697.141,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed FC Barcelona34c11,338$3,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,457.5890843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Villarreal CF55c10,010$5,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,505.73452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked FC Barcelona32c10,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,80012648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked FC Barcelona32c7,940$2,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,425.891,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Villarreal CF63c3,186$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006672.7%48 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe26b…bee7backed Villarreal CF53c3,085$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,643.74425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-58.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed FC Barcelona32c3,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0403946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed FC Barcelona32c2,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,36021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed FC Barcelona65c1,647$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.974148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked FC Barcelona32c1,499$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.4538729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed Villarreal CF59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5902142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Villarreal CF31c989.77$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.893,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa47f…dfb1backed FC Barcelona35c980$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6373036.7%11 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddf4…0ff5backed FC Barcelona33c900$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6031100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed FC Barcelona48c859.97$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.614,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed FC Barcelona32c857.14$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.1423452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked FC Barcelona34c800$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5286238.7%24 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked FC Barcelona32c800$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54422552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked FC Barcelona67c672.56$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5611457.9%66 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Villarreal CF36c502.98$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.047236.1%26 W · 46 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked FC Barcelona32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34031751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Villarreal CF68c446.03$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.36141%25 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed FC Barcelona44c445.1$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.8225248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Villarreal CF12c430.89$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.716839.7%27 W · 41 L+12.9wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+118.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed FC Barcelona32c400$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27215250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfea1…776abacked Villarreal CF67c400$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked FC Barcelona32c400$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27235054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked FC Barcelona65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1408550.6%43 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed FC Barcelona35c365.96$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.9611049.1%54 W · 56 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Villarreal CF57c351.1$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004634.8%16 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed FC Barcelona65c338.56$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.565453.7%29 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked FC Barcelona31c335$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.658525.9%22 W · 63 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-28%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Villarreal CF69c318.84$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed FC Barcelona32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20427652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe930…b44dbacked Villarreal CF53c296.53$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.163650%18 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+30.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x738f…0386backed Villarreal CF67c290$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7463…5850backed FC Barcelona37c268.51$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.91850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed FC Barcelona32c240$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.221849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed FC Barcelona32c240$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.214244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked FC Barcelona34c235.29$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2913936%50 W · 89 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75dd…171dbacked FC Barcelona47c213.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.031776.5%13 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3f…b09ebacked Villarreal CF67c210$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Villarreal CF70c199.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14031745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed FC Barcelona32c180$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.417648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed FC Barcelona32c180$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.443255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e6…7ef4backed FC Barcelona34c176.47$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.471450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed FC Barcelona33c157.58$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.583265.6%21 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed FC Barcelona33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.524847.9%23 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83f6…62f8backed FC Barcelona67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.55100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+75.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Villarreal CF67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008159.3%48 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0d…a408backed FC Barcelona67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.251553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Villarreal CF67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006731.3%21 W · 46 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x385e…3896backed FC Barcelona34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.062740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked FC Barcelona35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.865834.5%20 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked FC Barcelona32c120$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.620652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked FC Barcelona32c120$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.67045.7%32 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked FC Barcelona32c120$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.69945.5%45 W · 54 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed FC Barcelona32c120$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.620250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed FC Barcelona32c120$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.619652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed FC Barcelona32c120$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.616151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed FC Barcelona32c120$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.611346.9%53 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed FC Barcelona32c120$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.619951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed FC Barcelona32c120$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.614950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked FC Barcelona34c117.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.654136.6%15 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed FC Barcelona67c111.94$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.949949.5%49 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked FC Barcelona32c107.71$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2419750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0740…a340backed FC Barcelona46c107.66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8993…222dbacked FC Barcelona66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Villarreal CF34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3469142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31b9…b28abacked Villarreal CF57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-30.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked FC Barcelona67c96.62$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.135952.5%31 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed FC Barcelona32c95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.611448.2%55 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x924f…d049backed FC Barcelona66c90.47$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.762356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+36.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c67…21eebacked Villarreal CF70c89.06$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.033638.9%14 W · 22 L-6.1wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-29.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9887…79a8backed FC Barcelona34c85.29$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.291241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed FC Barcelona32c80$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.411952.9%63 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c75…8c7abacked FC Barcelona45c77.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.87812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-72.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5be0…c51ebacked FC Barcelona67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+96.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30dc…9fa0backed FC Barcelona67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.631968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+34.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed FC Barcelona32c74.57$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7120949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c6a…d6aebacked Villarreal CF69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked FC Barcelona33c70$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.911249.1%55 W · 57 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3f8…17dabacked FC Barcelona63c68.25$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca6f…e727backed FC Barcelona30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.671154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.23per pick31cpaid+63.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked FC Barcelona32c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.814157.4%81 W · 60 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked FC Barcelona32c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.819352.3%101 W · 92 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed FC Barcelona32c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.89247.8%44 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed FC Barcelona32c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.821051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed FC Barcelona32c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.819152.4%100 W · 91 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked FC Barcelona32c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.819153.4%102 W · 89 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked FC Barcelona32c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.819553.3%104 W · 91 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked FC Barcelona32c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.810247.1%48 W · 54 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked FC Barcelona32c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.818853.2%100 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked FC Barcelona32c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.819155%105 W · 86 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed FC Barcelona32c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.821151.7%109 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed FC Barcelona32c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.818852.7%99 W · 89 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed FC Barcelona32c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.88650%43 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked FC Barcelona32c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.819751.8%102 W · 95 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.