NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa56a8ef6f1687cb5bf4961e81741de7592553e1b3c691750136fc332c2c5fda8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krakenof Kraken, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $247,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1ff…e56abacked Sharks | 55c | 65,012$35,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,745.32 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kraken | 48c | 28,201$13,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,579.66 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Sharks | 54c | 27,783$14,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,961.76 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Sharks | 53c | 25,304$13,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,310.98 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kraken | 45c | 22,498$10,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,329.74 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Kraken | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,799.99 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kraken | 48c | 18,775$9,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,716.25 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Sharks | 54c | 14,095$7,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,611.3 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Kraken | 48c | 10,595$5,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,509.4 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Sharks | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Kraken | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.99 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kraken | 44c | 9,659$4,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,409.09 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kraken | 46c | 8,916$4,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,836.83 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Kraken | 47c | 8,228$3,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,349.5 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kraken | 46c | 7,382$3,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,013.93 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Kraken | 45c | 7,344$3,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,039.09 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Sharks | 52c | 6,667$3,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,472.46 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Sharks | 53c | 6,109$3,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,246.29 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Sharks | 44c | 5,388$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,366.2 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Kraken | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kraken | 46c | 4,871$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,630.25 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kraken | 45c | 4,850$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,667.29 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Sharks | 55c | 4,545$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Kraken | 46c | 4,022$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,171.74 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…4c6dbacked Kraken | 48c | 2,861$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.37 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Sharks | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Sharks | 53c | 2,175$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Kraken | 47c | 2,014$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.54 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kraken | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.99 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Sharks | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Sharks | 52c | 1,676$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.65 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Kraken | 47c | 1,526$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.52 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kraken | 46c | 1,507$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.42 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Sharks | 55c | 1,182$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed Sharks | 52c | 1,177$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.47 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7c…79a0backed Sharks | 39c | 1,172$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Kraken | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sharks | 56c | 1,076$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.09 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Kraken | 46c | 1,044$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.6 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Kraken | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Sharks | 54c | 1,022$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Sharks | 53c | 1,013$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.69 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Sharks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Kraken | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Sharks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Kraken | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Sharks | 54c | 963.29$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2de…9fb3backed Kraken | 50c | 922.92$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.36 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…2bacbacked Sharks | 53c | 865.1$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.1 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sharks | 32c | 865$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.33 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2822…741dbacked Kraken | 48c | 834.99$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.2 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Kraken | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kraken | 44c | 750$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3371…9f90backed Sharks | 54c | 750$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Kraken | 45c | 738.53$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.19 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Kraken | 47c | 699.99$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.99 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f5…1678backed Kraken | 75c | 669.69$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f74…558dbacked Sharks | 55c | 668.45$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Kraken | 48c | 655$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.6 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Sharks | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Sharks | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Kraken | 48c | 587.37$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.43 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Sharks | 30c | 567.28$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.4 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Sharks | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Kraken | 47c | 500$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.5 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Kraken | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Sharks | 54c | 499.9$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.95 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…0cc5backed Sharks | 25c | 434.68$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Kraken | 49c | 403.42$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.19 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Kraken | 48c | 395.83$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.83 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Sharks | 52c | 390$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.8 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Sharks | 44c | 385.58$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.55 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Sharks | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 417 | 57.3%239 W · 178 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Sharks | 33c | 374.46$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 393 | 43%169 W · 224 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Sharks | 54c | 368.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.29 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…1f62backed Sharks | 54c | 367$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 250 | 50.4%126 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sharks | 52c | 343.7$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.72 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kraken | 52c | 338.08$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.49 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…58c7backed Sharks | 53c | 337.74$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Sharks | 54c | 332.32$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 268 | 48.5%130 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Kraken | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Kraken | 47c | 300$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.5 | 352 | 45.2%159 W · 193 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Sharks | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 388 | 57.2%222 W · 166 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Sharks | 52c | 284.62$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Sharks | 52c | 284.3$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kraken | 54c | 278.74$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaddb…51adbacked Sharks | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Sharks | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Sharks | 57c | 271.46$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.86 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Kraken | 45c | 270.93$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.93 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…4f77backed Kraken | 48c | 266.9$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.79 | 386 | 45.1%174 W · 212 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Kraken | 73c | 266.2$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.38 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sharks | 54c | 260$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.66 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Sharks | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Sharks | 54c | 240$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Sharks | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Sharks | 58c | 230.14$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.3 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Sharks | 52c | 229.78$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…673abacked Kraken | 47c | 227.86$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.91 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Kraken | 48c | 222.57$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.16 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Sharksthis page
- Kraken vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kraken vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Kraken (-1.5)Kraken won
- Spread: Sharks (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.