NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34d51c7d7c8a679c83f5c1e6101886b354c9ca38df66befb5cb0f0bd306d3655
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 55c | 65,702$36,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,616.23 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 45c | 23,113$10,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400.99 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 45c | 13,691$6,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,160.95 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 46c | 8,287$3,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,785 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 45c | 6,638$2,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,987.14 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Over | 45c | 6,068$2,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730.78 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 44c | 4,915$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162.46 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Under | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Over | 45c | 2,240$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 2,053$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.45 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Over | 45c | 1,607$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.22 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 45c | 1,044$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.25 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 55c | 1,000$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Over | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Over | 45c | 660$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 55c | 546$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.7 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Under | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Under | 56c | 479.6$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.02 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…e887backed Under | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Under | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 45c | 311$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.95 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 45c | 301.78$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.8 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Under | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Under | 55c | 286.75$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.04 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 45c | 256$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 44c | 228.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Over | 45c | 212.77$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.75 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…a3acbacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Over | 45c | 181.81$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.81 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…2371backed Over | 46c | 156.52$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f9…a73cbacked Under | 55c | 109$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 309 | 51.1%158 W · 151 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4eb…1028backed Under | 56c | 71.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Under | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Under | 56c | 68.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 45c | 68.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 56c | 63.54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 45c | 59.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555a…71a4backed Over | 46c | 58.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Under | 56c | 57.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…81e3backed Under | 56c | 40.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…061bbacked Over | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…59f0backed Under | 56c | 35.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…6a30backed Under | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 45c | 27.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Under | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5this page
- Kraken vs. SharksKraken won
- Kraken vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Kraken (-1.5)Kraken won
- Spread: Sharks (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.