TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Panthers vs. Senators

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Panthersof Panthers, Senators
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$324,580
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$345,163

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $324,580 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Senators54c37,500$20,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,249.9948545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Panthers49c22,998$11,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,729.011,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Senators51c20,556$10,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,483.5613553.3%72 W · 63 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Panthers46c20,000$9,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,799.9831654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Senators63c15,782$9,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,876.3132744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Panthers47c15,000$7,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,95014940.9%61 W · 88 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Panthers48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20025449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Panthers46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,399.9728353%150 W · 133 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Senators51c9,941$5,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,069.8715953.5%85 W · 74 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Panthers46c9,854$4,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,273.831,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Panthers74c7,236$5,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,884.6911745.3%53 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Senators54c7,000$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,78015749.7%78 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Senators20c6,981$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.7989636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Panthers55c6,788$3,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,062.081,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Panthers46c6,500$2,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5101,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Panthers73c6,429$4,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715.9238738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Senators54c6,000$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,24012041.7%50 W · 70 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ac4…3081backed Panthers49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,059.983560%21 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Panthers30c5,132$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,583.3258467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Senators51c5,125$2,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,613.7551452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Panthers46c5,040$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,719.4756649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Senators52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Panthers47c4,719$2,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,477.51,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Panthers69c4,391$3,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.611,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Panthers48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08024945.4%113 W · 136 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Panthers28c3,774$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,736.012,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Panthers49c3,661$1,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,868.2430551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Panthers46c3,584$1,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,935.4645955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Panthers48c3,257$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,677.31,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Senators54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62025446.5%118 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Senators54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62012445.2%56 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Panthers49c2,981$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.3129651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Panthers26c2,881$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.137857.4%217 W · 161 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Panthers46c2,880$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.9648549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Panthers46c2,500$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35023751.5%122 W · 115 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Panthers48c2,476$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.3397651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Panthers49c2,036$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.171,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Panthers47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06025552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Senators51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02083652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Panthers44c1,990$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.571,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75f3…fc66backed Senators52c1,928$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.33540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dba…daa8backed Panthers49c1,928$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.05450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe779…335ebacked Senators50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7504463.6%28 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Panthers47c1,466$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.2462249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x778d…cbe2backed Panthers46c1,430$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.23458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Senators51c1,390$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.820552.2%107 W · 98 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Senators51c1,238$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.761,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Panthers47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8319353.9%104 W · 89 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Panthers47c1,000$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53545749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Panthers46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Senators54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54013946.8%65 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ea8…ddc0backed Senators54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5406341.3%26 W · 37 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Panthers47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53038046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Panthers46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54039047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Panthers46c866$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.6484953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Senators70c863.61$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.7157157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Senators54c857.41$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46320047.5%95 W · 105 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Senators49c801.27$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.6260337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Panthers46c799.99$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43233345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87e1…d5bcbacked Panthers47c799.97$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.987450%37 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57ba…2481backed Senators53c799.96$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.9813554.1%73 W · 62 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2a5…391cbacked Panthers71c780.97$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.415959.3%35 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Panthers69c769$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23952172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Panthers46c764.96$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.745751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Senators54c740.79$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40041757.3%239 W · 178 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Senators55c731$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40031848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Panthers47c700$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37110056%56 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Panthers47c691.98$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.2160249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f69…23cbbacked Panthers49c600$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.511127%30 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Panthers35c599.3$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.262,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Panthers47c560$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.640049.3%197 W · 203 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Senators42c556.67$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.5529926.4%79 W · 220 L-20.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Senators52c536.7$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.0822150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Panthers30c515.52$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.6614347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Panthers72c488$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.694866.7%32 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Panthers79c464$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.21,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b84…c221backed Panthers50c460$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2301957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Panthers47c433.01$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.523642.8%101 W · 135 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc1…8a9abacked Senators51c430$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Senators48c426.67$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.351,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x489f…4647backed Panthers50c425$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa14…c863backed Panthers50c425$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0962…f1f8backed Senators51c420$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x256c…99adbacked Senators51c420$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d4…f675backed Panthers50c420$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ff5…a783backed Senators5c406.31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.841250%6 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+46.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Senators32c402.83$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.499638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x788d…99bbbacked Panthers50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Panthers46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21672448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Senators49c396$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.0418262.1%113 W · 69 L+15.6wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8861…e19fbacked Senators52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017753.1%94 W · 83 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Senators37c373.62$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.0748452.3%253 W · 231 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Senators54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020655.3%114 W · 92 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Senators54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20078443.8%343 W · 441 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Panthers48c367.98$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.9918744.9%84 W · 103 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Senators50c340$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17076450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Panthers58c334$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.9234538.6%133 W · 212 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfac5…9782backed Panthers47c333.36$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.682781.5%22 W · 5 L+7.6wins+0.28per pick53cpaid+52.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x4a1a…4f77backed Panthers49c305.96$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.0438645.1%174 W · 212 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Senators52c299.99$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.5935245.2%159 W · 193 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.