NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bucks (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb9d3df987d426a4d3c577dbbd0458468c2f56b5d2529dc43ad2c7a4672130b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Bucks, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $508,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $519,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $508,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Hornets | 53c | 377,529$200,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200,409.33 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Bucks | 47c | 150,000$70,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,500 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 47c | 54,200$25,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,603.78 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Hornets | 52c | 42,338$22,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,016.02 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bucks | 48c | 31,366$15,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,287.98 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bucks | 47c | 30,010$14,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,905.44 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Bucks | 47c | 21,210$10,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,181.02 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Bucks | 48c | 20,534$9,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,677.69 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bucks | 47c | 19,000$8,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,150 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Bucks | 46c | 18,888$8,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199.52 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bucks | 46c | 17,012$7,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,186.22 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Hornets | 51c | 9,610$4,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,903.68 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Bucks | 48c | 9,579$4,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,976.61 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…04e7backed Bucks | 50c | 9,080$4,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,540 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Bucks | 50c | 7,350$3,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,685.5 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Hornets | 53c | 6,114$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240.21 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Hornets | 53c | 6,054$3,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,208.79 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 48c | 4,979$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.35 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9f…b134backed Hornets | 50c | 4,692$2,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cb…4d21backed Hornets | 50c | 4,388$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bucks | 46c | 4,306$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.39 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Bucks | 48c | 4,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks | 48c | 3,297$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.14 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Hornets | 51c | 3,048$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.48 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hornets | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.97 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bucks | 47c | 2,980$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.15 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Bucks | 47c | 2,626$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.75 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bucks | 51c | 2,182$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.98 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Bucks | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 48c | 1,918$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.28 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Bucks | 48c | 1,888$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.4 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Bucks | 47c | 1,724$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.85 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Hornets | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Bucks | 47c | 1,255$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.15 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…8ea7backed Bucks | 50c | 996$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Hornets | 51c | 937.39$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.97 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 47c | 774.23$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.5 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Hornets | 50c | 752.79$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.5 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…fe1abacked Bucks | 49c | 622.99$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.48 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Bucks | 51c | 506.04$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.04 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Hornets | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…7582backed Bucks | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | -27.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Hornets | 51c | 411.44$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.83 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Bucks | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…768ebacked Hornets | 51c | 368.63$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Bucks | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Bucks | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Hornets | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Hornets | 50c | 274.76$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.37 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Hornets | 54c | 240$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Bucks | 50c | 231$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.22 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…6df7backed Hornets | 51c | 225.49$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Bucks | 47c | 219.7$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.75 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Bucks | 47c | 213.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.37 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Bucks | 47c | 203.97$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Bucks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Hornets | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Hornets | 53c | 195.7$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Bucks | 47c | 175$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…220cbacked Bucks | 49c | 173.14$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Hornets | 43c | 155$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bucks | 48c | 149.08$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.03 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Bucks | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Hornets | 51c | 140.87$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.84 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Bucks | 48c | 140.66$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bucks | 48c | 111.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Bucks | 49c | 111$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Bucks | 48c | 108.48$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Bucks | 54c | 102.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Bucks | 47c | 102$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Hornets | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…21cbbacked Hornets | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Bucks | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…629fbacked Bucks | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Hornets | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Bucks | 49c | 97.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Bucks | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Hornets | 39c | 92.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Hornets | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Bucks | 48c | 84.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Bucks | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59c…6c14backed Hornets | 52c | 80.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa4…5332backed Bucks | 51c | 79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Hornets | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Hornets | 56c | 73.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Hornets | 64c | 71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Bucks | 47c | 67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Hornets | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked Bucks | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…47a4backed Hornets | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…14d9backed Hornets | 51c | 58.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Hornets | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Hornets | 50c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Bucks | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Bucks | 51c | 44.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…21e1backed Bucks | 49c | 43.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 119 | 30.3%36 W · 83 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8f…d7e3backed Bucks | 47c | 42.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…cdbdbacked Bucks | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Bucks | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Hornets | 59c | 40.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bucks (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Bucks (-1.5)Hornets won
- Bucks vs. HornetsBucks won
- Bucks vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Bucks vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists Over 2.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Rebounds Over 3.5No won
- Spread: Bucks (-2.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-4.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.