NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41b79bf55f588ec667109ecd800f3cae01063c86e38bbb0064c684f97b538612
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0352…3292backed Under | 52c | 21,353$11,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,112.72 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 11,656$5,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,091.7 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f6…cf62backed Under | 52c | 4,258$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 2,189$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.55 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Under | 55c | 2,152$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.89 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 48c | 1,563$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.76 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 1,289$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.94 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 48c | 1,184$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.5 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 1,002$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.02 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 763.09$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.81 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 52c | 599.99$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.99 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 47c | 570.73$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.49 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Over | 49c | 537.7$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.23 | 277 | 35%97 W · 180 L | -30.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 47c | 417$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.01 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 47c | 337.96$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.25 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 48c | 240$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 48c | 240$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 6c | 181$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…39fdbacked Over | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Over | 48c | 152.85$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.12 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Over | 48c | 140$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Under | 53c | 122.64$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 337 | 30.3%102 W · 235 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Over | 48c | 121.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.44 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 48c | 108$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 47c | 95.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 45c | 92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 47c | 92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea0e…a5dabacked Over | 48c | 87.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 48c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 48c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Over | 47c | 70.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 47c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 245 | 52.7%129 W · 116 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 48c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 47c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 48c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 48c | 47.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 252 | 50.8%128 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Over | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 46c | 35.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 47c | 28.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 46c | 24.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 48c | 24.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Over | 48c | 23.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Over | 45c | 22.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 53c | 21.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Bucks (-1.5)Hornets won
- Bucks vs. HornetsBucks won
- Bucks vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Bucks vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists Over 2.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Rebounds Over 3.5No won
- Spread: Bucks (-2.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-4.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.