NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc912b26a0df6b8cfc1c0a54bae6f7fc2f181c9ea1095c64ed4af4fa8a4bea482
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Bucks, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,318,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,375,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,318,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 896 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Hornets | 42c | 164,945$69,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,764.22 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Bucks | 57c | 100,000$57,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,500 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Bucks | 59c | 84,000$49,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,439.98 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Hornets | 19c | 58,912$10,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,986.78 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Hornets | 42c | 57,328$24,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,077.69 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…6305backed Hornets | 42c | 55,000$23,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,049.96 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33f6…e0debacked Hornets | 42c | 50,000$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,999.96 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Bucks | 58c | 49,999$29,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,999.71 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Hornets | 42c | 49,000$20,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,580 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Hornets | 41c | 41,900$17,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,178.98 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Bucks | 58c | 34,863$20,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,642.43 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Hornets | 41c | 24,390$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bucks | 58c | 24,118$13,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,225.94 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Hornets | 42c | 22,628$9,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,503.73 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Bucks | 59c | 22,034$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,033.9 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bucks | 58c | 21,340$12,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,962.65 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Bucks | 65c | 20,220$13,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,134.91 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Hornets | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,199.97 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed Hornets | 42c | 17,000$7,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,120 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Bucks | 58c | 13,937$8,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,884.51 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1692…831fbacked Bucks | 56c | 13,874$7,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,063.83 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked Hornets | 41c | 13,432$5,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,507 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bucks | 69c | 13,215$9,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,042.36 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 69c | 13,046$9,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,022.91 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Hornets | 41c | 13,000$5,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,349.95 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Bucks | 58c | 11,983$6,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,033.02 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…28bdbacked Hornets | 42c | 11,905$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Hornets | 42c | 10,907$4,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,580.95 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks | 57c | 10,808$6,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,608.33 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bucks | 58c | 10,340$6,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,322.8 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Bucks | 58c | 10,050$5,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,221 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Hornets | 41c | 9,207$3,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,804.77 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets | 42c | 9,005$3,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,789.93 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bucks | 58c | 8,879$5,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,691.39 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Hornets | 42c | 8,000$3,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,394.96 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Bucks | 58c | 6,023$3,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,529.77 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Bucks | 59c | 6,000$3,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464.78 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Bucks | 63c | 5,728$3,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.94 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Hornets | 41c | 5,178$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Bucks | 60c | 5,142$3,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.67 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Bucks | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Bucks | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Bucks | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Bucks | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6576…6cc5backed Hornets | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Bucks | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Hornets | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde6d…0926backed Hornets | 28c | 4,974$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.07 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Bucks | 58c | 4,755$2,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.18 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Hornets | 47c | 4,700$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.48 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Bucks | 58c | 4,367$2,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Bucks | 58c | 4,260$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.15 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Bucks | 59c | 4,237$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.29 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Bucks | 58c | 4,147$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.51 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Hornets | 49c | 4,075$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.64 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Bucks | 58c | 4,000$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.97 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Bucks | 61c | 3,754$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.52 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…98b9backed Bucks | 68c | 3,678$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.89 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Bucks | 58c | 3,500$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.96 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bucks | 65c | 3,344$2,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.08 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Bucks | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.33 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Bucks | 59c | 3,333$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.53 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3b…f822backed Bucks | 58c | 3,152$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d2…ffb6backed Hornets | 42c | 3,146$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 58c | 3,072$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.51 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bucks | 57c | 3,000$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.22 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Bucks | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Hornets | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Hornets | 41c | 3,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.53 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Bucks | 58c | 2,984$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.28 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Bucks | 58c | 2,913$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.42 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Hornets | 41c | 2,905$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697d…985dbacked Hornets | 41c | 2,900$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1f…6623backed Bucks | 58c | 2,900$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe686…13cbbacked Bucks | 58c | 2,700$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Bucks | 58c | 2,700$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bucks | 58c | 2,640$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.67 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb6…e09cbacked Hornets | 42c | 2,600$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Bucks | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Bucks | 59c | 2,483$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.16 | 440 | 52.5%231 W · 209 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Hornets | 52c | 2,440$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.7 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0409…0da6backed Hornets | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3af…749fbacked Bucks | 60c | 2,439$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Bucks | 58c | 2,430$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.6 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Hornets | 1c | 2,375$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hornets | 46c | 2,350$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.53 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00b…517cbacked Bucks | 44c | 2,265$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.07 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Hornets | 41c | 2,223$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.44 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 30c | 2,142$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.85 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Hornets | 40c | 2,100$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.99 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Hornets | 42c | 2,097$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.54 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bucks | 59c | 2,087$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.56 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Hornets | 43c | 2,055$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.65 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Hornets | 50c | 2,025$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.69 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Bucks | 72c | 2,000$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.1 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef47…ebb7backed Bucks | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Hornets | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Hornets | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 386 | 49.7%192 W · 194 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Bucks | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.98 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Bucks | 58c | 1,950$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Hornetsthis page
- 1H Spread: Bucks (-1.5)Hornets won
- Bucks vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Bucks vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists Over 2.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Rebounds Over 3.5No won
- Spread: Bucks (-2.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-4.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.