NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91183f6e8b4be4594244f50d8fc3721781a5647eb0e4b763a8887bead788f2cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof 76ers, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed 76ers | 52c | 5,722$2,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,746.55 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks | 49c | 4,934$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,417.47 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 76ers | 51c | 4,218$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.82 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Mavericks | 56c | 3,955$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Mavericks | 54c | 2,516$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.5 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 76ers | 46c | 2,448$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.02 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 76ers | 43c | 2,040$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.62 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Mavericks | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed 76ers | 47c | 971.7$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks | 52c | 643.11$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.16 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked 76ers | 48c | 579$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.08 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Mavericks | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Mavericks | 49c | 365.31$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…7582backed Mavericks | 55c | 299.47$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.27 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | -27.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Mavericks | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed 76ers | 45c | 194.44$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.18 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Mavericks | 55c | 185$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed 76ers | 45c | 171.97$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.58 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed 76ers | 51c | 167.61$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.13 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed 76ers | 50c | 162.26$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.13 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Mavericks | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 175 | 27.4%48 W · 127 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed 76ers | 45c | 134.25$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.32 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked 76ers | 46c | 108.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.57 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed 76ers | 45c | 107.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.14 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…848ebacked Mavericks | 57c | 107.02$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked 76ers | 43c | 107.02$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed 76ers | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…4083backed Mavericks | 48c | 99.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 76ers | 48c | 97.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.81 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Mavericks | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed 76ers | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed 76ers | 44c | 64.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1209…fa75backed 76ers | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a5…4024backed Mavericks | 49c | 50.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed 76ers | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f4…f6f2backed 76ers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked 76ers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7481…279fbacked 76ers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Mavericks | 48c | 38.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked 76ers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9324…7e95backed Mavericks | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Mavericks | 52c | 32.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed 76ers | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…57d5backed 76ers | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- Mavericks vs. 76ers76ers won
- Mavericks vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Mavericks vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.