NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x815d30868117ce240b2cfe4ecd310f91b3e22eda773bd896d99875cbeeba05a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Over | 49c | 12,298$5,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,330.35 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 53c | 4,158$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.36 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 3,534$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.63 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3910…a66dbacked Under | 51c | 2,063$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 52c | 1,155$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.6 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 54c | 704$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.16 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 55c | 339.38$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Under | 50c | 306.73$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.37 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 51c | 305$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.55 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…38cbbacked Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 51c | 292.16$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 266 | 59%157 W · 109 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 183$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 50c | 155.86$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.93 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 47c | 131$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Over | 47c | 85.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 337 | 30.3%102 W · 235 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de1…2d12backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 169 | 68.6%116 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…7a7abacked Over | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Under | 54c | 32.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…256ebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- Mavericks vs. 76ers76ers won
- Mavericks vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Mavericks vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.