NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3f836b93fc7fe8fcf940176b151b47ee63a35ad11430ae3df060a0d29f176f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 3,006$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.35 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 53c | 2,584$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.5 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 51c | 1,951$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.52 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1297…d819backed Under | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 52c | 1,198$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.96 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 1,081$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.82 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 48c | 787.72$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.61 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Under | 49c | 599.99$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.99 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 36c | 347.3$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.45 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 10c | 277$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Over | 48c | 204.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 55c | 158$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 47c | 145.71$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.96 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Under | 68c | 123.01$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.65 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 47c | 101.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb103…e4adbacked Over | 51c | 99.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…6365backed Over | 51c | 99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 50c | 96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 88.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4d…ef8bbacked Under | 50c | 76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 54c | 46.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 48c | 41.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -12.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 51c | 41.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…3090backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50aa…70ddbacked Over | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Under | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- Mavericks vs. 76ers76ers won
- Mavericks vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Mavericks vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.