UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Gibson Jr. (Catchweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x713bcb531a49403f80db45b780fb1582483ce291a86fe04f38ea0c68a7d02864
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Greenof Green, Gibson Jr.
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $305,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $414,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Gibson Jr. | 4c | 80,657$3,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,626.73 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x561b…05c3backed Green | 63c | 13,000$8,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,809.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…025bbacked Green | 64c | 10,740$6,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,908.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Gibson Jr. | 11c | 7,846$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.54 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Gibson Jr. | 40c | 7,484$2,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,973.67 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Gibson Jr. | 38c | 7,223$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,735.9 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Gibson Jr. | 38c | 6,084$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.36 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Gibson Jr. | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Gibson Jr. | 27c | 4,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.75 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Green | 61c | 3,658$2,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.57 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Gibson Jr. | 42c | 3,541$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.55 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Gibson Jr. | 37c | 3,506$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked Gibson Jr. | 37c | 3,180$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Gibson Jr. | 37c | 3,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Green | 63c | 3,000$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.32 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked Gibson Jr. | 2c | 2,967$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Green | 64c | 2,852$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…7630backed Gibson Jr. | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.11 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Gibson Jr. | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Green | 61c | 2,482$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.96 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Green | 61c | 2,409$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.26 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Green | 61c | 2,071$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.6 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Gibson Jr. | 2c | 2,069$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Gibson Jr. | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Gibson Jr. | 36c | 1,863$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Green | 61c | 1,610$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.82 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Gibson Jr. | 39c | 1,545$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.61 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Gibson Jr. | 39c | 1,538$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.82 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Gibson Jr. | 46c | 1,506$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.66 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Gibson Jr. | 37c | 1,474$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.3 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Gibson Jr. | 39c | 1,152$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.99 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed Gibson Jr. | 39c | 1,144$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Gibson Jr. | 39c | 1,034$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Gibson Jr. | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed Green | 64c | 1,000$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.78 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Green | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Green | 62c | 900$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Gibson Jr. | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Gibson Jr. | 34c | 712.82$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Gibson Jr. | 38c | 642.99$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.34 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Gibson Jr. | 37c | 619$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.03 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Gibson Jr. | 38c | 522.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Green | 53c | 513.21$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.21 | 132 | 67.4%89 W · 43 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Gibson Jr. | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Gibson Jr. | 38c | 500$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…7582backed Gibson Jr. | 36c | 476.5$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.14 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0174…f66fbacked Gibson Jr. | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Green | 62c | 402.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.14 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Green | 79c | 400.06$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.01 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Gibson Jr. | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Green | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Gibson Jr. | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2d…05e4backed Gibson Jr. | 39c | 358.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Gibson Jr. | 39c | 349.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed Gibson Jr. | 11c | 314.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Green | 61c | 310.81$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Gibson Jr. | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…2ecdbacked Gibson Jr. | 33c | 299.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Green | 63c | 299.98$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…2c48backed Gibson Jr. | 7c | 289.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Green | 62c | 284.78$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.22 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Gibson Jr. | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ad…a5cabacked Gibson Jr. | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…e7b3backed Gibson Jr. | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Gibson Jr. | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…837dbacked Gibson Jr. | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Green | 55c | 238.5$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.27 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Green | 66c | 237.71$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.57 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe148…e9d0backed Green | 62c | 214.66$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.57 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Green | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Gibson Jr. | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Gibson Jr. | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…d3dcbacked Green | 57c | 174.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9324…7e95backed Gibson Jr. | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4579…9f19backed Green | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Green | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Gibson Jr. | 37c | 156.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 166 | 55.4%92 W · 74 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdd…11bebacked Gibson Jr. | 27c | 155$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Gibson Jr. | 36c | 137.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…5309backed Gibson Jr. | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc99d…5d6bbacked Gibson Jr. | 37c | 133.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…52ccbacked Gibson Jr. | 40c | 132.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Green | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaade…64eabacked Gibson Jr. | 39c | 129.69$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c0…be1cbacked Gibson Jr. | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…e8e1backed Green | 80c | 125.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Green | 76c | 116.3$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…900fbacked Gibson Jr. | 38c | 110$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked Green | 61c | 109.84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4f…950bbacked Green | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Gibson Jr. | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd16…0be8backed Gibson Jr. | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f0…7e22backed Gibson Jr. | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95da…60b4backed Gibson Jr. | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Gibson Jr. | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…129ebacked Green | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Gibson Jr. | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f1…3dccbacked Gibson Jr. | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Green | 62c | 99.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…3e5abacked Gibson Jr. | 41c | 97.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Gibson Jr. (Catchweight, Prelims)this page
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.