TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Hurricanes vs. Penguins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Penguinsof Hurricanes, Penguins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$389,147
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$451,800

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $389,147 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 332 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xff7a…4c4cbacked Penguins45c33,631$15,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,496.894247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed Hurricanes0c33,088$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.291752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Hurricanes3c25,437$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.3119548.2%94 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Penguins44c20,000$8,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,199.981,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Hurricanes56c15,469$8,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,662.397844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Hurricanes55c13,614$7,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,532.912650%13 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Hurricanes55c12,545$6,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,899.7533243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Hurricanes54c10,525$5,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,728.961,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Hurricanes55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,499.9725449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf90e…0b56backed Penguins44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,599.9113449.3%66 W · 68 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Hurricanes55c8,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4004440.9%18 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Hurricanes45c8,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.994450%22 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Penguins45c7,214$3,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,967.4352050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hurricanes54c7,069$3,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,847.531,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Hurricanes0c6,710$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.697450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Hurricanes1c6,691$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9126344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Penguins77c5,996$4,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.61,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Hurricanes23c5,407$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.7138738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Hurricanes55c5,277$2,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,902.3561953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Hurricanes4c5,099$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.8954418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Penguins45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7501,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Hurricanes56c4,891$2,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,738.851,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad69…b7a6backed Hurricanes55c4,700$2,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,584.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Penguins45c4,444$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,444.4460337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Hurricanes54c4,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16086649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Penguins45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Penguins45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20093953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Hurricanes55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65029651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Penguins45c2,838$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.979350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Penguins45c2,807$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,543.849052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39a3…1d40backed Hurricanes55c2,800$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+46.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Penguins44c2,500$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40013049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2db…4149backed Penguins45c2,483$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Hurricanes13c2,299$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.8929926.4%79 W · 220 L-20.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked Penguins75c2,287$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.516958%40 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hurricanes55c2,162$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.31,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Hurricanes1c2,002$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.242504.8%12 W · 238 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+159.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Hurricanes55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.0397651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06c1…c5dbbacked Penguins45c1,890$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Penguins45c1,859$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.4524654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Hurricanes55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010255.9%57 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Penguins69c1,694$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.421,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x169c…ced1backed Penguins45c1,600$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8802100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Hurricanes54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81036038.6%139 W · 221 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b6…cfe5backed Hurricanes55c1,457$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.898843.2%38 W · 50 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Penguins77c1,433$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.081,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07ba…e279backed Penguins45c1,333$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.331070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+39.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x559f…cd83backed Hurricanes56c1,333$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.48837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Hurricanes56c1,286$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72047256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b5f…0c49backed Penguins45c1,203$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.65475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+75.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xebd5…094cbacked Hurricanes4c1,135$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5530845.8%141 W · 167 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9be8…9d40backed Penguins45c1,124$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.441442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Penguins77c1,106$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.3258467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Hurricanes2c1,100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2254132.7%177 W · 364 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Penguins45c1,100$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.31,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Hurricanes8c1,093$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4643743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbb9…7608backed Penguins44c1,065$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb824…df69backed Penguins45c1,038$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c1…cba5backed Hurricanes55c1,010$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.560%0 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Hurricanes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe779…335ebacked Hurricanes61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6104463.6%28 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Hurricanes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102420.8%2 W · 240 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x722e…119abacked Penguins45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x538a…0823backed Penguins45c994.83$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.151668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Hurricanes7c948.68$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.571,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Hurricanes23c931$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.912,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd52f…a2e9backed Hurricanes55c926.72$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19cc…457fbacked Hurricanes55c918.44$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Penguins47c908$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.731,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bac…cee5backed Penguins45c892.87$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7793…8b05backed Hurricanes55c886.42$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Hurricanes2c872.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.341915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Hurricanes18c863.82$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.091,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca3e…3706backed Hurricanes55c859.68$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hurricanes54c849.97$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.982,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f25…a115backed Penguins45c810$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Hurricanes55c800$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44041248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Hurricanes55c800$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44060249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Penguins44c791.05$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.9922150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9863…19f3backed Penguins45c790$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8956…e1e9backed Penguins45c777$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Hurricanes5c774.15$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0631744.2%140 W · 177 L+14.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d89…40a4backed Hurricanes55c727.27$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Hurricanes2c725.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.33762.2%23 W · 14 L+7.5wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+59.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xbf2d…1c17backed Penguins44c716.29$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc630…fbe4backed Hurricanes42c710.93$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x038a…8f98backed Hurricanes55c709.04$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa30f…b8aebacked Hurricanes56c699.88$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.93616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick52cpaid-67.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf660…98b1backed Hurricanes55c659.91$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Penguins46c652.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.1778443.8%343 W · 441 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Penguins45c646$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.31,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Hurricanes54c630.13$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.2722852.6%120 W · 108 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x650d…ee9abacked Penguins45c614$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.7475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+58.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69d9…9881backed Hurricanes55c600$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33030657.8%177 W · 129 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Hurricanes56c599.05$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.4741354.5%225 W · 188 L+17.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Hurricanes34c596$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.9927739.4%109 W · 168 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Hurricanes56c591$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.231,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed Hurricanes56c540$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Hurricanes29c539.28$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15916753.3%89 W · 78 L+13.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Hurricanes7c523.09$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1389636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.