NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc68cae0d1639043b523902ff1a03021e9e740042a01222eda5654aae506aaab7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 49c | 108,884$53,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,064.13 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Over | 49c | 16,960$8,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,366.34 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 51c | 16,765$8,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,206.33 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 51c | 15,888$8,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,765.12 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Under | 51c | 14,706$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,205.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 8,071$4,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,944.62 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 7,756$3,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800.76 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 52c | 6,921$3,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,322.1 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 6,092$3,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,971.39 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 6,014$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,007.1 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 6,000$3,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,927.32 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2058…cf57backed Over | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Under | 51c | 3,595$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.55 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 3,578$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.14 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 52c | 3,558$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.69 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 51c | 3,289$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.52 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Under | 51c | 2,628$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.72 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…9840backed Over | 50c | 2,185$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under | 52c | 2,174$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.55 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x195a…4330backed Under | 52c | 2,162$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.87 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.89 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 51c | 1,339$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.39 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b9…292abacked Under | 51c | 798.04$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.04 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 51c | 728.88$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.15 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 49c | 612.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.36 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 51c | 450.98$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.98 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 430$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.4 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 48c | 412.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc923…5a59backed Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 52c | 384$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.32 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 51c | 371.19$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.69 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 54c | 365.94$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.45 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…9a69backed Over | 50c | 329$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.17 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 51c | 280$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.48 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 51c | 271.46$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 51c | 248.32$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.68 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 52c | 240$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.4 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 51c | 240$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -8.3wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Under | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…65fabacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…0c56backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Under | 53c | 188.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.12 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 45c | 171.06$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.98 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Under | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Under | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 51c | 114$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 52c | 108$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Under | 51c | 102$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Under | 51c | 102$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1da…bdc2backed Under | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Under | 49c | 79.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…9efebacked Under | 51c | 79.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 52c | 77.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7217…a87cbacked Over | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 51c | 72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 51c | 72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Under | 53c | 67.92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 164 | 63.4%104 W · 60 L | +18.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed Under | 51c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Under | 51c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4794…d6e5backed Under | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 51c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 51c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Under | 51c | 52.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a5…5713backed Over | 50c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 216 | 48.1%104 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfd…302cbacked Over | 50c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…e0debacked Under | 51c | 40.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 175 | 52%91 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. PenguinsPenguins won
- Hurricanes vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.