UFC · resolved market
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09e0cfa74e471cda9be773117247b9d5886e412480cd1acf0c7d9331d4c5fdcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Denisof Hooker, Saint Denis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,587,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,634,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,587,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 739 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Hooker | 22c | 165,719$36,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,768.66 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Hooker | 22c | 137,122$30,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,166.84 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Saint Denis | 76c | 105,425$80,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,375.13 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Hooker | 25c | 102,000$25,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,060 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Hooker | 23c | 99,219$22,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,820.38 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Hooker | 23c | 98,392$22,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,630.11 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Saint Denis | 76c | 97,125$74,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,970.58 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Hooker | 24c | 90,597$21,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,869.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Saint Denis | 77c | 79,999$61,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,399.87 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Saint Denis | 76c | 75,897$58,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,897.44 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Hooker | 23c | 75,562$17,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,134.86 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Saint Denis | 78c | 72,445$56,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,937.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Saint Denis | 77c | 71,000$54,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,329.92 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Hooker | 23c | 70,425$16,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,197.76 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Saint Denis | 77c | 50,099$38,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,522.84 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Hooker | 22c | 49,399$11,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,024.15 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Saint Denis | 78c | 45,455$35,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000.1 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Saint Denis | 77c | 44,050$33,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,131.49 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Saint Denis | 77c | 39,893$30,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,204.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Saint Denis | 75c | 32,882$24,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,220.59 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Saint Denis | 77c | 31,310$24,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,255.94 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28fb…69c1backed Hooker | 0c | 21,840$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Saint Denis | 77c | 20,000$15,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,649.98 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Saint Denis | 75c | 19,773$14,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,859.57 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Hooker | 23c | 19,182$4,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,411.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Saint Denis | 78c | 16,718$13,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,677.95 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Saint Denis | 77c | 14,080$10,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,238.39 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Saint Denis | 77c | 13,000$10,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb383…f189backed Hooker | 23c | 12,862$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a8…2587backed Saint Denis | 78c | 12,821$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Hooker | 19c | 12,425$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Saint Denis | 77c | 12,320$9,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,833.6 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Hooker | 23c | 11,497$2,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,692.73 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Saint Denis | 78c | 10,508$8,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Hooker | 23c | 10,071$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.31 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Hooker | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30dd…cbfdbacked Hooker | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Hooker | 23c | 9,071$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.35 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8d…4537backed Saint Denis | 77c | 9,000$6,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b63…1147backed Saint Denis | 76c | 8,915$6,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Hooker | 25c | 8,500$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.95 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Saint Denis | 78c | 8,333$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.33 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Hooker | 26c | 8,100$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Saint Denis | 78c | 8,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718c…50eabacked Saint Denis | 74c | 7,207$5,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.21 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Saint Denis | 77c | 6,720$5,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.48 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…e842backed Saint Denis | 79c | 6,695$5,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…87debacked Hooker | 23c | 6,522$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Saint Denis | 77c | 6,510$5,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.05 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f6fabacked Hooker | 3c | 6,187$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f14…892abacked Hooker | 5c | 6,104$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaef2…5f34backed Hooker | 3c | 6,037$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Saint Denis | 75c | 6,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Hooker | 21c | 5,600$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.98 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Hooker | 23c | 5,300$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c03…d894backed Saint Denis | 77c | 5,191$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Hooker | 25c | 5,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Hooker | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Hooker | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Saint Denis | 77c | 5,000$3,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.98 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c26…cf53backed Hooker | 34c | 4,953$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…abcdbacked Saint Denis | 75c | 4,951$3,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.81 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Saint Denis | 61c | 4,672$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.86 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d15…684bbacked Hooker | 25c | 4,660$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…9e49backed Hooker | 43c | 4,586$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.94 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…2301backed Hooker | 23c | 4,349$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.21 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…36b4backed Hooker | 23c | 4,348$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Hooker | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.99 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Saint Denis | 75c | 3,939$2,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.02 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked Hooker | 23c | 3,500$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hooker | 23c | 3,500$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Hooker | 22c | 3,349$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Hooker | 23c | 3,330$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Saint Denis | 72c | 3,041$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.28 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Saint Denis | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…fd52backed Saint Denis | 55c | 2,913$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.38 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9451…c3f9backed Saint Denis | 78c | 2,886$2,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Hooker | 25c | 2,883$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.67 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Saint Denis | 78c | 2,861$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Hooker | 14c | 2,819$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.39 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…9224backed Saint Denis | 78c | 2,800$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07a…c3debacked Hooker | 28c | 2,798$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.83 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeadf…3ea2backed Saint Denis | 76c | 2,745$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…ff9bbacked Hooker | 30c | 2,631$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.15 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Saint Denis | 69c | 2,616$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.8 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ba…bbb6backed Hooker | 27c | 2,579$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Saint Denis | 78c | 2,576$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.49 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Saint Denis | 76c | 2,410$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Saint Denis | 77c | 2,302$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.42 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Hooker | 29c | 2,300$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.59 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hooker | 36c | 2,231$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.84 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…0386backed Saint Denis | 74c | 2,216$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.97 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd750…e32cbacked Hooker | 23c | 2,200$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Hooker | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Hooker | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdefa…2d63backed Hooker | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Hooker | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f23…1832backed Hooker | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Hooker | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Hooker | 24c | 2,067$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.85 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Benoît Saint Denis win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will Dan Hooker win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.