TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Troy vs. Jacksonville State

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jacksonville Stateof Troy, Jacksonville State
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,227,916
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,262,807

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,227,916 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 395 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Troy48c143,554$68,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,937.0593548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Troy47c110,000$52,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,078.644738.3%18 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Jacksonville State65c74,272$48,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,194.4416234%55 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Jacksonville State54c55,918$30,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,752.9511849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jacksonville State56c51,705$28,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,992.2952449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Jacksonville State55c45,758$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,757.7919362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Jacksonville State51c43,228$22,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,181.5332745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Troy8c36,385$2,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,913.6840541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa46a…52c1backed Troy0c36,000$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Jacksonville State52c35,152$18,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,034.4839954.1%216 W · 183 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Troy16c31,132$5,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,129.7864841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Jacksonville State50c26,113$13,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,01827246%125 W · 147 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Jacksonville State51c22,235$11,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,895.177545.3%34 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Troy46c22,222$10,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,222.123342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Troy36c20,840$7,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,504.766838.2%26 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Troy14c20,137$2,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,828.2219842.9%85 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Troy18c18,756$3,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,465.9762843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jacksonville State61c18,731$11,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,263.2486243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb433…7705backed Troy31c17,810$5,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,520.3940%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked Troy41c15,000$6,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,149.99714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-67.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Troy44c9,908$4,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,339.7729055.2%160 W · 130 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3be3…42ffbacked Troy50c9,850$4,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,92510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02f2…2323backed Jacksonville State50c9,850$4,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Troy46c9,339$4,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,278.1848546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Troy50c9,058$4,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,573.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Troy45c7,677$3,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,454.4552641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Troy45c7,472$3,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,368.2858850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jacksonville State62c6,852$4,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,585.2763243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3657…6b14backed Jacksonville State49c6,640$3,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,386.42958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jacksonville State55c6,459$3,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,927.332,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2195…16f9backed Troy49c5,245$2,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,570.251258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Jacksonville State54c5,151$2,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,363.919457.4%54 W · 40 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Troy50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-53.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed Troy48c4,937$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,350.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Troy47c4,436$2,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,106.6665945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Troy43c4,321$1,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,858.034748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Jacksonville State51c4,313$2,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,110.9138450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Troy50c4,266$2,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,117.697830.8%24 W · 54 L-8.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x678a…d623backed Troy52c4,071$2,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,11710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Jacksonville State62c3,936$2,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.266855.9%38 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe6e…d51fbacked Jacksonville State49c3,410$1,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb18a…0c76backed Troy51c3,399$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Jacksonville State47c3,391$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,806.371926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-34.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11b5…0d05backed Jacksonville State68c3,386$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d2…cc46backed Jacksonville State50c3,009$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.561553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Troy50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Troy46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38019849%97 W · 101 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Troy45c2,749$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,235.1230949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Troy42c2,718$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.72714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick48cpaid-71.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Troy45c2,525$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4403…4252backed Troy40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002540%10 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Troy53c2,500$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32510851.9%56 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Troy42c2,381$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.41per pick42cpaid+112.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Troy48c2,219$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0652755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Jacksonville State59c2,159$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.1920450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Troy42c2,156$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.5111541.7%48 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Troy43c2,148$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.112536%9 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x66ba…621fbacked Troy43c2,140$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9121947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25a1…67b0backed Jacksonville State53c2,050$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd360…d86abacked Troy50c2,025$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1953…f310backed Troy50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3158…d469backed Troy49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9801861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Troy50c1,900$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95016747.9%80 W · 87 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jacksonville State58c1,872$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.7957144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Troy52c1,713$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.812528%7 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-44.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cc7…cf77backed Jacksonville State59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.916645.5%30 W · 36 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Troy50c1,500$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.510742.1%45 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Troy43c1,500$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.046842.6%29 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jacksonville State62c1,405$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.4655350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8737…3f80backed Troy51c1,270$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Jacksonville State66c1,262$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.765137.3%19 W · 32 L-7.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-37.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9993…6dd5backed Jacksonville State50c1,250$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Jacksonville State71c1,218$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.351181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick60cpaid+42.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d6c…63fcbacked Jacksonville State50c1,210$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Troy52c1,200$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.5134529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Troy28c1,194$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.154243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc3c…be16backed Troy51c1,190$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Jacksonville State48c1,115$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.958627.9%24 W · 62 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Troy43c1,058$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8729…03d6backed Jacksonville State48c1,017$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Jacksonville State51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Jacksonville State48c937.77$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.642458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa85…8542backed Troy42c900$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e88…f3c9backed Troy24c877.3$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.511145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34a2…b10bbacked Troy51c876.22$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.45250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Troy46c826.09$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3801127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid-40.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Jacksonville State71c775.79$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+103.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Troy54c774.88$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.956753.7%36 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Troy52c765.37$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.7850358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3d…c184backed Troy59c763.77$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.29475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+68.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Jacksonville State57c730$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.327145.1%32 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Troy41c717.79$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.259124.2%22 W · 69 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-48.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x11aa…d4f3backed Jacksonville State58c700$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2941100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8eb1…0812backed Troy44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+39.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Troy24c666$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.843748.6%18 W · 19 L+6.4wins+0.17per pick31cpaid+72.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x8525…bdbabacked Jacksonville State55c664.36$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.175352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62d1…c018backed Jacksonville State51c662.25$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Troy26c661$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.0721644.9%97 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Jacksonville State43c609.76$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.769250%46 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7c3…3800backed Troy29c603.32$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.