College Football · resolved market
Spread: Troy (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x061b50c0f21da2b82409929b64973e92744717b36ae93756fee636a7603f8831
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jacksonville Stateof Troy, Jacksonville State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Jacksonville State | 50c | 5,177$2,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,588.63 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Troy | 50c | 2,010$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.11 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Troy | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Troy | 42c | 895.95$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.89 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Troy | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Troy | 50c | 338.07$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.04 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Troy | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Jacksonville State | 51c | 202$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Jacksonville State | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Jacksonville State | 55c | 163.64$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Jacksonville State | 53c | 140$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Jacksonville State | 52c | 123$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Jacksonville State | 51c | 117$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +5.4wins | +0.42per pick | 51cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Troy | 47c | 115.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Jacksonville State | 53c | 105$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Jacksonville State | 52c | 101$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Troy | 42c | 99.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -7.7wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Jacksonville State | 52c | 94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Jacksonville State | 53c | 92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Jacksonville State | 53c | 86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Troy | 49c | 83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Jacksonville State | 51c | 83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…f72ebacked Troy | 47c | 74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Jacksonville State | 50c | 71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Jacksonville State | 51c | 64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Jacksonville State | 50c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Troy | 49c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Troy | 47c | 57.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Troy | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed Troy | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Troy | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Jacksonville State | 53c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Troy | 48c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Jacksonville State | 53c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Jacksonville State | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaa…80cdbacked Troy | 48c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Troy | 48c | 47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Troy | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Jacksonville State | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Jacksonville State | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Jacksonville State | 57c | 43.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Troy | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Troy | 48c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Troy | 48c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Jacksonville State | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Troy | 50c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…a0e7backed Jacksonville State | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Troy | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Troy | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Troy | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Troy | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed Troy | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Troy | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Jacksonville State | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Troy | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked Troy | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Troy | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Jacksonville State | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed Troy | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Troy | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Troy | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked Troy | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Troy | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Troy | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Troy (-1.5)this page
- O/U 46.5Under won
- Spread: Jacksonville State (-1.5)Jacksonville State won
- Spread: Jacksonville State (-2.5)Jacksonville State won
- Spread: Jacksonville State (-3.5)Jacksonville State won
- Spread: Troy (-2.5)Jacksonville State won
- Troy vs. Jacksonville StateJacksonville State won
- Troy vs. Jacksonville State: 1H MoneylineTroy won
- Troy vs. Jacksonville State: O/U 47.5Under won
- Troy vs. Jacksonville State: O/U 48.5Under won
- Troy vs. Jacksonville State: O/U 49.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.