Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs KUKUYS V2 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d3258da6f9e90352eed4cb5adb0843294436df8a6c9efb900cbfb46dfb46aee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yakutou Brothersof Yakutou Brothers, KUKUYS V2
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Yakutou Brothers | 60c | 2,401$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.47 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked KUKUYS V2 | 38c | 2,295$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.47 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked KUKUYS V2 | 6c | 1,475$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.68 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -77%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked KUKUYS V2 | 44c | 1,223$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.84 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Yakutou Brothers | 79c | 999.99$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked KUKUYS V2 | 20c | 694.56$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.53 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d0…6fc8backed KUKUYS V2 | 39c | 643.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2e5abacked KUKUYS V2 | 36c | 575.7$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e8…626bbacked Yakutou Brothers | 71c | 558.85$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed Yakutou Brothers | 28c | 541.01$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.67 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…9ff7backed Yakutou Brothers | 73c | 408.34$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.34 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked KUKUYS V2 | 40c | 394.42$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.21 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…ab2cbacked Yakutou Brothers | 64c | 388.3$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Yakutou Brothers | 65c | 365$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.55 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed KUKUYS V2 | 31c | 350.06$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.26 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Yakutou Brothers | 66c | 301.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.43 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked KUKUYS V2 | 15c | 299.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1257…793fbacked Yakutou Brothers | 57c | 270.01$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked KUKUYS V2 | 76c | 254.02$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.88 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07fb…f0d5backed KUKUYS V2 | 49c | 204.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Yakutou Brothers | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…bbecbacked Yakutou Brothers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed KUKUYS V2 | 40c | 175$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked KUKUYS V2 | 24c | 154.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…0e7dbacked Yakutou Brothers | 72c | 139.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed KUKUYS V2 | 73c | 136.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked KUKUYS V2 | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…8777backed Yakutou Brothers | 52c | 108.06$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yakutou Brothers | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yakutou Brothers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4c…433dbacked KUKUYS V2 | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked KUKUYS V2 | 33c | 86.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed KUKUYS V2 | 35c | 85.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ac…1fa1backed Yakutou Brothers | 46c | 81.13$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…078abacked KUKUYS V2 | 43c | 67.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed KUKUYS V2 | 42c | 61.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked KUKUYS V2 | 52c | 59.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1218…a00cbacked KUKUYS V2 | 34c | 58.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307e…8118backed Yakutou Brothers | 45c | 58.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…347bbacked Yakutou Brothers | 79c | 50.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77e5…d5a3backed Yakutou Brothers | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed KUKUYS V2 | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Yakutou Brothers | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed KUKUYS V2 | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a69…aec0backed Yakutou Brothers | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Yakutou Brothers | 76c | 35.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35fe…95f7backed KUKUYS V2 | 42c | 34.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Yakutou Brothers | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed KUKUYS V2 | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…9055backed Yakutou Brothers | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 76cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…06efbacked KUKUYS V2 | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…181ebacked KUKUYS V2 | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…2fd8backed KUKUYS V2 | 58c | 24.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d06…88d8backed Yakutou Brothers | 70c | 21.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Yakutou Brothers | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb59b…2adbbacked Yakutou Brothers | 80c | 18.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb57…32dcbacked KUKUYS V2 | 65c | 18.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9871…59aabacked KUKUYS V2 | 62c | 18.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5d…014bbacked Yakutou Brothers | 67c | 18.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46a…f70abacked Yakutou Brothers | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8844…51c7backed Yakutou Brothers | 75c | 17.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.