NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x184304a2febc66453a9b55c540f361bfeafdeb61a8dbb3a73e7234b98c8222cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $166,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $172,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Under | 63c | 40,000$25,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,799.97 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Over | 37c | 39,290$14,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,618.8 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 62c | 39,079$24,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,890.9 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed Over | 38c | 26,035$9,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,805.73 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 72c | 14,609$10,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,508.68 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 38c | 14,578$5,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,539.64 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 8,361$4,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,283.96 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 42c | 7,213$3,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,190.9 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Over | 39c | 6,731$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Over | 52c | 5,773$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024.96 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Over | 37c | 5,478$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 34c | 5,035$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,315.14 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 4,024$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.05 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 62c | 3,200$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 64c | 2,813$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.5 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Under | 58c | 2,533$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.29 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 45c | 1,924$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.07 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 35c | 1,803$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.85 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 50c | 1,731$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.47 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 29c | 1,540$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.25 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 36c | 1,515$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.55 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 63c | 1,320$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.8 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 43c | 1,316$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.11 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Under | 42c | 1,243$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.49 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Under | 69c | 1,230$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 38c | 1,160$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.8 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 63c | 1,117$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.43 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…03c2backed Under | 64c | 1,095$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.53 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 66c | 1,094$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.45 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b6…c324backed Over | 38c | 1,036$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.65 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 54c | 1,019$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.45 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b84…6accbacked Under | 45c | 893.46$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.46 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Over | 38c | 858.16$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Over | 53c | 806.47$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Under | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 54c | 778.66$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.66 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d867backed Under | 56c | 763.26$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.93 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Under | 66c | 757.56$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…a1b0backed Under | 52c | 739.99$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.72 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 28c | 719.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.64 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 38c | 708.52$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.15 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Over | 36c | 682.5$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.7 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 73c | 610.87$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.86 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 30c | 581.92$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.41 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5479…a28bbacked Over | 38c | 578.95$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 63c | 567.51$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.98 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 63c | 560.89$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.53 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Over | 50c | 555$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 51c | 548.07$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.97 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 541.52$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.69 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.45 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 43c | 496.35$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.27 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 30c | 476.05$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.79 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 51c | 424.24$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.88 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 38c | 420.07$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.66 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 54c | 397.6$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.2 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 34c | 389.65$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.17 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 59c | 354.75$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.37 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 52c | 338.85$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.22 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…e1a1backed Over | 36c | 333.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 49c | 323.54$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.87 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Under | 43c | 272.49$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.09 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 64c | 272.38$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.38 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 61c | 266.5$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.96 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed Under | 54c | 265.35$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.18 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…3e5cbacked Under | 54c | 256.4$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 62c | 243.9$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.12 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Under | 51c | 231.45$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.41 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 49c | 228.28$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.33 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 44c | 228$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 47c | 209.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.55 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 62c | 199.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 36c | 188.1$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.25 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 28c | 185.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.41 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 55c | 167.57$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.9 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2578…b2a6backed Under | 63c | 159.62$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5217…836fbacked Over | 49c | 157.41$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…bd04backed Under | 64c | 157.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 51c | 150.09$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.02 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…03fcbacked Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Over | 64c | 130.61$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 45c | 128.85$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Over | 46c | 126$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Over | 10c | 119.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -41%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Under | 67c | 112.03$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 34c | 107.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.64 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 53c | 107$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03b7…992ebacked Under | 74c | 104.05$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…266abacked Under | 57c | 101.2$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…5488backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 61c | 96.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 42c | 90.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Under | 64c | 85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 40c | 82.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Over | 37c | 82.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5this page
- Oilers vs. DucksDucks won
- Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.