TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,694
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,081

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,694 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaa07…2125backed Under42c30,665$12,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,879.371,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over58c14,732$8,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,187.6328749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over58c9,214$5,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,869.8818641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Under29c4,429$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3002045%9 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over58c3,685$2,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.720756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over64c3,660$2,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.892,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Under49c3,405$1,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6703844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fd6…d7babacked Over48c3,200$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6643100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+148.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.981,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked Over47c2,762$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.897236.1%26 W · 46 L-7.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Under43c2,326$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-43.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Under52c2,297$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.681163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Under43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86041842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84012152.9%64 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under42c1,935$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.61,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe807…307cbacked Under24c1,718$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over67c1,709$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.472,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over57c1,481$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.7213049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under20c980.82$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.9111933.6%40 W · 79 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Under43c921.95$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.6713343.6%58 W · 75 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Over58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.074037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over58c784.85$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.4222250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5af4…183cbacked Under43c723.26$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over76c674.68$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.2389355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over57c660.06$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.8310545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c9f…08f9backed Under19c607.34$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick22cpaid-78%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over71c599.63$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.911,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under48c587.56$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.131,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under15c491.07$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.919948.5%48 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under42c399.94$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.9776950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Over51c384.5$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.74761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae26…e478backed Over58c374.21$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa601…c58fbacked Under29c281.39$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under55c276.76$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.481,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under37c274.12$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8141050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa928…bbaabacked Over60c270.33$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.686142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over66c263.59$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8128652.4%150 W · 136 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb34…6359backed Over58c246.55$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.55650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over57c229.04$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.4950251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4889…359ebacked Under43c220$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.62638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05c4…78c6backed Under11c212.91$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+199.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Under40c210.69$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3825345.5%115 W · 138 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5415265.1%99 W · 53 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed Over59c170.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over60c170$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6862447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7f1…d867backed Under26c160.59$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.155969.5%41 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over74c148.42$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5912859.4%76 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over58c146.55$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.551,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed Under42c133$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.31421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-59.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Under24c130.41$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.35954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ca…790cbacked Over57c125.43$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.69450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over72c115.63$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3838551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over62c112.43$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2234547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over70c106.06$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0514855.4%82 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under42c102.04$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8686549.1%425 W · 440 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4321155.5%117 W · 94 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Over72c96.92$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.44748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over56c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.628847.2%136 W · 152 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5559…2bd2backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.219760.8%59 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc10d…e679backed Over58c86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.12933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under48c66$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9835551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under34c62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2392049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x904c…4172backed Over64c59.8$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over76c59$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3314045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over58c55$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.153849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over80c53.63$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.862454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under41c53$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7351343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6f7…43fdbacked Over76c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.633100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7271952.4%377 W · 342 L-2.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x108a…517abacked Over58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.725961%36 W · 23 L+6.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa8bb…e1c5backed Under43c51.6$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1910447.1%49 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.582353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c8f…de8abacked Under20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.518941.8%79 W · 110 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa804…bdc1backed Over58c43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.943060%18 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over77c40.31$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.447265.3%47 W · 25 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under33c40.28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2916443.3%71 W · 93 L-15.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x03b7…992ebacked Under25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c76…2632backed Under41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.328850%44 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over58c34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.282450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.939751.1%203 W · 194 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff66…39cfbacked Over58c31.49$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.231485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+55.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.786743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc816…7a20backed Over58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.86560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…aa3cbacked Over58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.861040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over57c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.756753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over57c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.755959.3%35 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3092…c9a8backed Over58c23.39$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.822152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Over73c21.73$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.834738.3%18 W · 29 L-5.7wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-41%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x28a3…8620backed Over58c20.69$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6914158.2%82 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Over58c19.56$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.228164.2%52 W · 29 L+6.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over57c18.8$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0847753.9%257 W · 220 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Over57c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.810148.5%49 W · 52 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over78c17.78$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.923655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over63c16.8$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.193672.2%26 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb14d…8f95backed Over75c16.72$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.181952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over66c15.53$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.333,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.