TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,951
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,704

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,951 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44d6…9858backed Over37c6,000$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,219.9929146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under63c3,040$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.891945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Under63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.34100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8af…03c2backed Under64c1,565$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.546750.7%34 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Under66c1,522$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.145662.5%35 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over38c1,491$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.651,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72ab…30fcbacked Under62c1,404$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.182653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under60c1,336$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.9725449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over33c1,284$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.552,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Over7c1,235$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.999321.5%20 W · 73 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c7…4f5ebacked Under62c1,070$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.832045%9 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over8c1,018$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.831828.3%90 W · 228 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over37c747.9$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.4141842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Under55c550.18$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.8327044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Under63c512$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.445754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5db9…e95fbacked Over38c499.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1905749.1%28 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over37c464.98$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.5350251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over30c429.35$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.263,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under63c328.26$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.4628749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb8a…45aabacked Under65c308.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.621376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over37c230.27$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.23831.6%12 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over45c225$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2428652.4%150 W · 136 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Under71c220$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.2415265.1%99 W · 53 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Under64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2555446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over36c150$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5420350.7%103 W · 100 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fd3…bd04backed Under63c119.05$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.052751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over45c118.58$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3633647.9%161 W · 175 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa590…271cbacked Over45c106.86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.091154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0948…061cbacked Under63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4889…359ebacked Over38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Under64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3618046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over36c85$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.61,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over42c79.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.431,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Over39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3053849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over28c73.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.112,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over45c71.56$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.233251.5%171 W · 161 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd5…a5bbbacked Under63c71.43$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.432853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Over36c68.77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.764748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under64c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.68347%39 W · 44 L-9.4wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-21.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc313…6645backed Under63c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.27346.6%34 W · 39 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over36c55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9428847.2%136 W · 152 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over37c49.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2245151.2%231 W · 220 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked Under63c48.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.99785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+44.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2914…aff6backed Under63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.621675%12 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x462f…cbd6backed Under63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.621931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-45.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over35c42.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.812733.1%42 W · 85 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under63c39.26$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5386649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc10c…9bb3backed Under60c39.12$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.657100%7 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Under64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.064452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c6…6a00backed Under61c39$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.213100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+41.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…ff8abacked Under60c38.76$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.54100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x077b…11d4backed Under60c38.4$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.363100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83a7…4d52backed Under60c38.24$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.34100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8047…0a8dbacked Under60c38.22$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick69cpaid+48.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec81…c2f4backed Under60c38.04$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.225100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc815…13b7backed Under60c37.86$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b68…bfefbacked Under60c37.68$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.07580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6231…c97ebacked Under60c37.5$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2a0…7310backed Under60c37.08$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.83580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff7c…f13abacked Under60c36.9$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.765100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ca…40adbacked Under60c36.74$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.75100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3045…8eebbacked Under60c36.48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7d8…f4f1backed Under60c36.3$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.52785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc5…1ea2backed Under60c36.12$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.455100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0359…2572backed Under60c35.94$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.38366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d69…cbc8backed Under60c35.64$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.26683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+30.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcd6…df55backed Under60c35.46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.18887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick70cpaid+23.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18af…af4dbacked Under60c35.28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f50…069bbacked Under63c35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.953647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a8c…7a0cbacked Under60c34.92$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.97580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…5ae8backed Under60c34.74$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-14.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x65cf…5206backed Under60c34.71$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.883100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfe9…7c35backed Under60c34.56$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.824100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa88c…26b7backed Under60c34.38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6783…73f9backed Under60c34.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.633100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cc4…c09dbacked Under60c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e4c…745bbacked Under60c33.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.48666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd33…00c4backed Under60c33.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd27d…e021backed Under60c33.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.386100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+59.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x14f0…19f2backed Under60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecf5…19afbacked Under60c29.82$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.934100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7dd…4843backed Under60c29.64$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.864100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+41.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a1c…fd77backed Under60c29.46$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.78683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under52c29.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.131,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc079…d4a1backed Under61c29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.31580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0ff…6544backed Under61c28.98$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32c5…436cbacked Under61c28.8$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.23475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5599…326dbacked Under63c28.57$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.577363%46 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed Under49c26.54$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.427852.6%41 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under62c25.82$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.736753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x121c…b866backed Under60c25.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda95…34f0backed Under60c25.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x812e…2fbabacked Under60c24.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.965100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb902…cacfbacked Under60c24.82$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick69cpaid+48.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae6…7ab8backed Under60c23.86$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5569…c927backed Under63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.813751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0f0…0f04backed Under60c22.82$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.133100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+41.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a70…a50bbacked Under63c18.95$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.014037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.