TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$308,225
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$318,670

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,225 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Under52c202,598$105,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97,298.3967051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Over48c186,666$89,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89,599.781822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-51.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Over52c30,091$15,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,544.53046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over48c22,145$10,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,631.2428749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under47c18,487$8,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,758.1440351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80041842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under52c8,334$4,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,000.3218853.2%100 W · 88 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Under52c7,000$3,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3601747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Under53c4,493$2,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,131.9527044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aba…4961backed Under49c4,448$2,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,253.181442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Under53c4,057$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,906.884436.4%16 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under67c3,834$2,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.662,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc7cc…791fbacked Over48c3,800$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,824450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under50c3,677$1,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.741,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over20c2,723$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.0938551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20031848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c2,396$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.9476950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over53c2,300$1,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2195855.2%32 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under46c2,286$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.3535829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under49c2,213$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.615054.7%82 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over54c2,114$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.813841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Under52c2,084$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.089157.1%52 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under52c2,084$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.0818452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over50c2,000$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0101,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over47c1,774$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.9891945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over47c1,595$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.6552050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70558352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Over19c1,492$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.188345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under79c1,476$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.461848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Over48c1,396$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Over49c1,391$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.8210049%49 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over45c1,332$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.13,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over48c1,295$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.6820756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over47c1,100$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51726154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked Over21c1,074$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2214134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over51c1,055$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.9122946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002850%14 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over48c1,000$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47516546.7%77 W · 88 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5303751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5db9…e95fbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005749.1%28 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under52c999.93$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.9762346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Under53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.42653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over47c935.05$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.4722443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under68c832.09$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.742,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c729.8$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.9559450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Over49c602.04$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29529551.9%153 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2b…d4eabacked Under43c581.77$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.771947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under51c546.8$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.0537754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe081…fc19backed Over50c510$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under80c460.05$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.011,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f6d…71b4backed Over48c416.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Over20c410.63$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.034151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under52c400.67$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.9233554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over49c396.78$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.4550251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Over20c371.14$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.64252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Under51c307.6$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.265954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Over49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14718046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under48c297.42$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.9433450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under45c288.89$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8925449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x520e…0453backed Under44c271.24$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.24616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Over56c268.13$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015145%68 W · 83 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over48c253.83$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.843831.6%12 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under51c240.02$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6110346.6%48 W · 55 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6a…7155backed Under53c235.11$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.043240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Under67c221.27$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.854748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Over20c215.32$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.539321.5%20 W · 73 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over48c209.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7962447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Under52c203.75$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.824847.6%118 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf51e…e386backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1007850%39 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under51c192.35$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2912733.1%42 W · 85 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6495…6cd7backed Under52c191.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.232850%14 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6822151.1%113 W · 108 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.689846.9%46 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under50c186.72$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.369260.9%56 W · 36 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over19c184.21$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over48c166.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under52c164.46$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7821355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under47c147$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9128652.4%150 W · 136 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over47c140$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.824442.6%104 W · 140 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under52c136.56$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5514353.1%76 W · 67 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under66c127$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.921,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Over48c124.62$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.395455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b5…9153backed Over48c121.21$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.181926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-42.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa796…95f9backed Under53c117.17$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.178950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over48c114.58$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555846.6%27 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under53c112.94$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0836852.2%192 W · 176 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5559…2bd2backed Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.049760.8%59 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over31c101.58$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7629533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5059950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021155.5%117 W · 94 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014653.4%78 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeee6…cbfebacked Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb52a…31a2backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8deb…1ef3backed Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1516054.4%87 W · 73 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc83f…23e4backed Over20c96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.23259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked Under53c87.37$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.06785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+44.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d08…6e9bbacked Over23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-53.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over51c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.71,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x299d…e85fbacked Over48c69.52$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.371450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.