MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91bac7887917dcf7ae565d46c358fc302fdd08575ff6854e1e2e5acccd9c41af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Chicago Cubs, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $183,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $210,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 13,996$7,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,887.93 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 13,645$7,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,641.09 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 11,455$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,004.59 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 9,448$5,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,291.09 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 9,195$4,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,149.31 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe934…640bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 8,102$4,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,537.24 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -58%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 6,818$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,818.17 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Chicago Cubs | 43c | 4,874$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,779.74 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 4,728$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.16 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 4,642$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,620.76 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 4,572$2,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,602.16 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 4,117$2,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.48 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…9c0abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 3,418$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 3,310$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.83 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 8c | 2,952$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.41 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 2,653$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.46 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 2,585$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.04 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Philadelphia Phillies | 1c | 2,192$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 2,175$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.62 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 2,169$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.42 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 1,709$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.64 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x896d…cd2cbacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 1,691$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.07 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 4c | 1,683$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 12c | 1,603$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.48 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 1,417$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.55 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a30…6a4ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 2c | 1,297$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…f49ebacked Chicago Cubs | 43c | 1,247$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.64 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 1,206$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.39 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 1,177$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.34 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Chicago Cubs | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…90febacked Chicago Cubs | 69c | 999.99$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 985.57$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.95 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 974.2$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.29 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Philadelphia Phillies | 9c | 945.4$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.09 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 899.93$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.9 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 880$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.8 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 846.51$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.42 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 808.87$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.18 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 791.08$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.36 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 757.66$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.29 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 10c | 743.94$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.42 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 719.31$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.74 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 618.45$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.72 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Philadelphia Phillies | 14c | 612.84$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.86 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 612.52$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.58 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 611.51$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.1 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 604.99$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.8 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 593.02$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.09 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Chicago Cubs | 36c | 588.89$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.8 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8d…150bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 23c | 548.73$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.91 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20f6…0f69backed Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 548.12$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.4 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 544.46$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.79 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 492.77$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.91 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 491.63$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.31 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…b180backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 486.8$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.61 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 486.79$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.85 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 480.3$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.97 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 480.2$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.27 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 469.33$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.34 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 460.51$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.89 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 447.15$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.44 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 420$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 402.61$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.46 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 386.05$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.64 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 383.3$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.22 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 380$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.8 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 374.53$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.87 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Chicago Cubs | 67c | 365.82$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.77 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb611…188fbacked Chicago Cubs | 76c | 355.33$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 340$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.4 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ee…6b9bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 14c | 338.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 333.44$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.92 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 333.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.19 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Chicago Cubs | 68c | 323.97$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.9 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 5c | 320.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 314.75$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.26 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 300.05$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.03 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 297.13$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 296.68$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.39 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Chicago Cubs | 67c | 294$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 282.44$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.03 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 282.27$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.95 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 23c | 276.01$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 274.46$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.7 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 238.73$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.03 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 235.3$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.26 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 229.49$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 225.17$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.1 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 221.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.93 | 203 | 51.7%105 W · 98 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…7adebacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 221.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.93 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 220.34$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.39 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 216.35$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.1 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…35b0backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 214.67$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.53 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc79a…39b4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 206.43$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Philadelphia Phillies | 8c | 201.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 200.01$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.01 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.