TailMyPicks
Market

MLB · resolved market

Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chicago White Soxof Chicago White Sox, San Diego Padres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$858,445
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$917,869

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $858,445 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Chicago White Sox39c200,000$78,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122,00031149.2%153 W · 158 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres46c126,671$58,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,342.6110,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed San Diego Padres13c70,487$9,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0782,04439.5%808 W · 1,236 L-24.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago White Sox38c56,968$21,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,303.044,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked San Diego Padres62c44,888$27,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,650.5777153.8%415 W · 356 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed San Diego Padres62c43,158$26,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,606.172,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked San Diego Padres61c29,000$17,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,6904156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Chicago White Sox77c28,677$21,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,701.3448850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked San Diego Padres66c25,599$17,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,00024344.4%108 W · 135 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked San Diego Padres61c25,000$15,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,2502070%14 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed Chicago White Sox43c23,482$10,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,475.8551756.5%292 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Chicago White Sox79c22,062$17,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,654.451258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago White Sox39c20,397$7,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,481.081,68150.1%842 W · 839 L-22.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Chicago White Sox37c19,478$7,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,271.3388349.3%435 W · 448 L-4.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked San Diego Padres61c18,385$11,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,214.6841149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6076…f8fdbacked San Diego Padres14c17,707$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50014243%61 W · 81 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc1…b33cbacked San Diego Padres62c14,285$8,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,856.726257.3%150 W · 112 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked San Diego Padres8c12,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012227.9%34 W · 88 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed San Diego Padres64c12,433$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00037953.6%203 W · 176 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres26c12,111$3,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.2612,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8768…8b58backed San Diego Padres25c11,848$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,95030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres61c11,313$6,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,928.013,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed San Diego Padres61c10,000$6,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,10012457.3%71 W · 53 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef1b…8697backed Chicago White Sox39c9,744$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,943.5914042.9%60 W · 80 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago White Sox36c9,000$3,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,8055,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed San Diego Padres53c8,491$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50036047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked San Diego Padres24c7,442$1,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,787.71,15342.8%494 W · 659 L-37.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37d3…709abacked Chicago White Sox38c6,952$2,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,310.078220.7%17 W · 65 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Chicago White Sox35c6,884$2,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,474.7630647.4%145 W · 161 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Chicago White Sox38c6,612$2,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,082.122,37547.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed San Diego Padres15c5,939$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.2985635.7%306 W · 550 L-24.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed San Diego Padres63c5,622$3,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,542.0211656.9%66 W · 50 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed San Diego Padres63c5,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1508552.9%45 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed San Diego Padres27c4,732$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.082,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed San Diego Padres63c4,452$2,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,804.851,58648.5%770 W · 816 L-2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed San Diego Padres14c4,229$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.1478146.4%362 W · 419 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago White Sox61c4,043$2,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,595.881,52059.1%899 W · 621 L+78.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed San Diego Padres62c4,000$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,48020350.7%103 W · 100 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed San Diego Padres48c3,968$1,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.531,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Chicago White Sox39c3,300$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,01316947.9%81 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed San Diego Padres61c3,278$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.581,40848.8%687 W · 721 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec7…2b6bbacked San Diego Padres63c3,179$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006456.3%36 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed San Diego Padres21c3,053$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.91,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Chicago White Sox33c2,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6751,30150.2%653 W · 648 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres44c2,487$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.399,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked San Diego Padres63c2,381$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Chicago White Sox75c2,296$1,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.555,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked San Diego Padres1c2,022$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.548762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51b8…d25fbacked San Diego Padres24c2,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.94143.9%18 W · 23 L+7.2wins+0.18per pick26cpaid+81.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Chicago White Sox38c1,771$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.048,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdac9…ef82backed San Diego Padres14c1,770$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2492218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed San Diego Padres63c1,657$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.761,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed San Diego Padres62c1,644$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.1762447.6%297 W · 327 L-2.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Chicago White Sox37c1,555$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.531,35850.8%690 W · 668 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Chicago White Sox40c1,464$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.2525240.1%101 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Chicago White Sox39c1,260$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.438648.8%42 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked San Diego Padres63c1,210$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.181,52751.1%780 W · 747 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago White Sox55c1,202$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.312,14950.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ce3…07b5backed San Diego Padres31c1,198$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3741675%12 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked San Diego Padres53c1,156$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.319348.7%94 W · 99 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked San Diego Padres10c1,110$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.671,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed San Diego Padres62c1,074$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66613655.1%75 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Chicago White Sox39c1,054$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.991,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed San Diego Padres13c1,039$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13021146.4%98 W · 113 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked San Diego Padres12c1,027$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12394734.4%326 W · 621 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed San Diego Padres8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8024946.2%115 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed San Diego Padres63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63026759.2%158 W · 109 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked San Diego Padres52c963.46$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed San Diego Padres49c951.32$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47015949.7%79 W · 80 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Chicago White Sox36c922.29$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.2157744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc313…e128backed San Diego Padres33c901.3$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.837941.2%156 W · 223 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed San Diego Padres41c848.25$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.887339.7%29 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c20…42a1backed Chicago White Sox36c810$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.46451.6%33 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked San Diego Padres34c806.23$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.6960941.4%252 W · 357 L-22.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked San Diego Padres18c800$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14226718.4%49 W · 218 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62bc…461ebacked San Diego Padres62c779.22$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.122441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked San Diego Padres29c666$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1422831.6%72 W · 156 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb267…d710backed San Diego Padres8c662.74$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.761942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked San Diego Padres63c600$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37885952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed San Diego Padres57c555$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.354,08757.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L+66.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Chicago White Sox79c530$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.847589.1%423 W · 52 L+84.9wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+25%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed San Diego Padres62c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31080159.2%474 W · 327 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Chicago White Sox32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34029647.3%140 W · 156 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Chicago White Sox35c490.28$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.756,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed San Diego Padres62c483.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,21540.5%492 W · 723 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed San Diego Padres8c473.07$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.851,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Chicago White Sox38c464.22$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.826459.4%38 W · 26 L+8.9wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+30.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x70ef…e25dbacked Chicago White Sox42c459.15$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.153455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c49…1d27backed San Diego Padres63c450$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.51330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-42.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed San Diego Padres63c426$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.3840645.1%183 W · 223 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x203c…2082backed San Diego Padres53c425.6$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.57837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked San Diego Padres62c404.61$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.862,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Chicago White Sox33c404.24$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.2988153.7%473 W · 408 L+40.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked San Diego Padres62c400$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24839850.3%200 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Chicago White Sox37c399.98$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.411,41843.4%616 W · 802 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked San Diego Padres63c394.29$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.7437348.3%180 W · 193 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed San Diego Padres61c381$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.061,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c9f…08f9backed San Diego Padres8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed San Diego Padres28c349.82$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.951533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed San Diego Padres50c334$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.421,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.