MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14904cf4d8085e14d3b3561211db1299ec04a45018bcda4624ba9fd6b481941f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Mariners, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $232,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $281,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners | 41c | 71,215$29,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,208.72 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Astros | 56c | 49,461$27,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,645.63 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed Astros | 78c | 43,002$33,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,461 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Mariners | 49c | 23,321$11,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,421.95 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Astros | 51c | 20,968$10,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,327.63 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Mariners | 51c | 20,642$10,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,527.18 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Astros | 49c | 18,500$9,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,435 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 64c | 8,906$5,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185.63 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 51c | 4,502$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,223.95 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 61c | 4,457$2,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.75 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Astros | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Astros | 70c | 3,190$2,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Astros | 52c | 3,075$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Mariners | 49c | 2,924$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.59 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Astros | 65c | 2,781$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.32 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Astros | 57c | 1,723$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.23 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…41a9backed Astros | 75c | 1,275$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.7 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Astros | 57c | 1,205$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.76 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Mariners | 37c | 1,005$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Mariners | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Astros | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Astros | 64c | 752.05$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.86 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 71c | 738.31$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.95 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Mariners | 37c | 714.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.55 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Mariners | 15c | 673.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Astros | 49c | 609.97$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.08 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1290…5269backed Mariners | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Mariners | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Astros | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe0…2576backed Mariners | 11c | 500$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -75%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Mariners | 3c | 499.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Astros | 56c | 451.1$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.48 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Astros | 52c | 423.96$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.5 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Astros | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Astros | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…818ebacked Astros | 60c | 382.59$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.95 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Mariners | 28c | 376.05$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.56 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Mariners | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Mariners | 50c | 338.32$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.16 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x563f…786ebacked Astros | 73c | 316.26$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.83 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Mariners | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Mariners | 52c | 299.58$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.78 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…f9e7backed Astros | 50c | 290$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe0…375abacked Mariners | 51c | 284.31$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Mariners | 32c | 250$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.17 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Astros | 73c | 241.08$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Mariners | 48c | 233.33$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mariners | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Mariners | 48c | 209.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.03 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mariners | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Astros | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Mariners | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ef…2c77backed Astros | 65c | 186.18$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Mariners | 40c | 148.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Astros | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Mariners | 49c | 140.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Astros | 60c | 132.5$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Astros | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Astros | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Mariners | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mariners | 50c | 115$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mariners | 25c | 112.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mariners | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mariners | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Astros | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Mariners | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Astros | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Astros | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Astros | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Astros | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…e1b0backed Mariners | 35c | 97.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked Mariners | 21c | 95.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Mariners | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mariners | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…8bb4backed Mariners | 25c | 59.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…25b7backed Astros | 70c | 57.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Mariners | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Mariners | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b1…b478backed Astros | 50c | 51.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Mariners | 39c | 50.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2efb…2211backed Mariners | 52c | 50.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…71bbbacked Astros | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Astros | 69c | 48.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa346…738fbacked Astros | 73c | 47.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Astros | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Astros | 70c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Astros | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…ac06backed Mariners | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ab…cdcbbacked Mariners | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd9…3dabbacked Mariners | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a88…68b2backed Astros | 53c | 31.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…04cbbacked Astros | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Mariners | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe79b…0fe0backed Mariners | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mariners | 49c | 29.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Astros | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Astros | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Mariners | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…4a98backed Mariners | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Astros | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.