MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc04c72f156f4b3bc8761719db10fd10f6397c45a84caba40b26fab1ec4044504
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Blue Jays, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $234,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $237,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Reds | 53c | 101,800$53,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,968.23 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Blue Jays | 47c | 41,600$19,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,552 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Blue Jays | 48c | 35,941$17,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,141.88 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 29,966$14,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,084 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Reds | 53c | 24,918$13,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,811.31 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Blue Jays | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,050 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Blue Jays | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 55c | 8,709$4,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,780.78 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Blue Jays | 47c | 7,900$3,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,713 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Reds | 48c | 7,785$3,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,086.11 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Reds | 51c | 6,739$3,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,292.12 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Blue Jays | 47c | 6,096$2,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,863.86 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Reds | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.97 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Blue Jays | 48c | 5,557$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,667.36 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 48c | 5,476$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,826.27 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 4,793$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.89 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Reds | 50c | 4,600$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,284.96 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Reds | 35c | 4,587$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,993.6 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Reds | 53c | 3,753$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.51 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Blue Jays | 43c | 2,615$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.16 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Reds | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.99 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709a…20b6backed Blue Jays | 51c | 2,383$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 2,106$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.04 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Reds | 52c | 2,036$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.28 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Reds | 53c | 1,871$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.26 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f8…3a79backed Blue Jays | 32c | 1,582$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.47 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Reds | 70c | 1,362$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Blue Jays | 26c | 1,161$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 999.98$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Blue Jays | 41c | 962$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.57 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays | 48c | 906.04$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.9 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Reds | 53c | 835.91$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.42 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Blue Jays | 43c | 799.69$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.49 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Blue Jays | 47c | 740$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Blue Jays | 48c | 735.29$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.94 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jays | 49c | 717.37$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.38 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Reds | 47c | 665$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.05 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Blue Jays | 47c | 626.91$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.65 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Blue Jays | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Reds | 52c | 550$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Reds | 53c | 512$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.77 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Blue Jays | 36c | 501.65$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Reds | 53c | 473.23$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.42 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Blue Jays | 46c | 458.33$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc3…8fffbacked Blue Jays | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Blue Jays | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Blue Jays | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Blue Jays | 20c | 400$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.1 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Blue Jays | 36c | 390$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.2 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x409b…d3dabacked Reds | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…1808backed Blue Jays | 48c | 354.17$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5d…a6e9backed Reds | 6c | 345.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +158.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Blue Jays | 14c | 327.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Reds | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Blue Jays | 47c | 299.36$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.7 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Reds | 36c | 296.8$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.8 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Blue Jays | 48c | 275$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ac…2c1abacked Reds | 54c | 251.85$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.85 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Blue Jays | 32c | 232.56$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Reds | 17c | 223$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.63 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Blue Jays | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jays | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Reds | 53c | 207.55$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 200.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.62 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…76a7backed Blue Jays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Blue Jays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4d…67a5backed Blue Jays | 34c | 199.96$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.98 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Reds | 52c | 197.97$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.86 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Reds | 55c | 185.37$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Blue Jays | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Blue Jays | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Reds | 51c | 156.44$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.16 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Reds | 54c | 149.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Reds | 61c | 136.73$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Reds | 52c | 136.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.08 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Reds | 52c | 134.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…8f16backed Blue Jays | 26c | 133.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 35cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Reds | 54c | 127.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.78 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Reds | 25c | 121.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.28 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fea…d383backed Blue Jays | 18c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Reds | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Blue Jays | 47c | 111$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Blue Jays | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71f9…8518backed Blue Jays | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Blue Jays | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Blue Jays | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Reds | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 95.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Reds | 49c | 89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…2d2cbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…5ae8backed Blue Jays | 25c | 84.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8db3…7febbacked Blue Jays | 24c | 82.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Reds | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Blue Jays | 30c | 75.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Blue Jays | 48c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Blue Jays | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Blue Jays | 38c | 69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jays vs. Redsthis page
- Blue Jays vs. Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.