MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e605db4940b6e8f998010abdce70b849fd02c2c384ea19d025c0dc5cfa6b97e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Blue Jays, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3d18…b702backed Blue Jays | 54c | 7,061$3,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,811.47 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Red Sox | 46c | 4,844$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,607.33 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Blue Jays | 5c | 4,770$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Red Sox | 46c | 4,408$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380.22 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Blue Jays | 54c | 3,715$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Red Sox | 47c | 3,274$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.25 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Red Sox | 46c | 3,047$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.17 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…a1c2backed Blue Jays | 54c | 2,963$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 6c | 2,897$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.05 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Blue Jays | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Blue Jays | 1c | 1,674$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Red Sox | 53c | 1,309$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.8 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.46 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Blue Jays | 6c | 1,050$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Red Sox | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1162…1a5bbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 850$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays | 53c | 750$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.5 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 56c | 620.98$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.07 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Blue Jays | 5c | 584$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 560.81$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.57 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Blue Jays | 20c | 559$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Red Sox | 47c | 541.11$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.79 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Blue Jays | 56c | 536.59$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Blue Jays | 53c | 507.05$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.74 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Red Sox | 48c | 497$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.44 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…69aebacked Blue Jays | 53c | 494.64$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.16 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…b3d7backed Red Sox | 50c | 469.33$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.79 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Blue Jays | 53c | 469$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.57 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox | 44c | 443.08$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.13 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Red Sox | 75c | 318.68$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.01 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Blue Jays | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a0…2569backed Red Sox | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Blue Jays | 11c | 283.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Blue Jays | 11c | 237.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Blue Jays | 54c | 218$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.72 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Blue Jays | 54c | 216.97$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.16 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Red Sox | 46c | 215.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.42 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Blue Jays | 19c | 213.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Red Sox | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Blue Jays | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Blue Jays | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Blue Jays | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Red Sox | 45c | 199.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.98 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Blue Jays | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Red Sox | 47c | 187$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Red Sox | 46c | 163.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.05 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Blue Jays | 53c | 151$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.03 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Red Sox | 47c | 134$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.02 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jays | 46c | 133.42$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Red Sox | 63c | 122.05$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Red Sox | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 108.34$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Red Sox | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Blue Jays | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…a3cabacked Red Sox | 50c | 96.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…ba49backed Red Sox | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ec…6b20backed Blue Jays | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -6.5wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Blue Jays | 47c | 63.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Blue Jays | 53c | 60.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Blue Jays | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Red Sox | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Red Sox | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c95…5825backed Blue Jays | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Blue Jays | 54c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa8…98bbbacked Red Sox | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f9…8518backed Blue Jays | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…c14fbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 36.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51a0…436bbacked Red Sox | 62c | 32.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Red Sox | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Red Sox | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Blue Jays | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Blue Jays | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.