TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc3cd…71ee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Boxing, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 54 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT4537.8%17 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+206.8%+$82.71
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will Pascal Siakam Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+300%+$60
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$32.68
Which conference wins NBA Finals?backed East · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+203%+$81.21
Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$58.24
Will Jalen Brunson Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
NBA Finals G2: Thunder win and SGA scores 34+ points? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$141.82
Will Pacers vs. Thunder be the 2025 NBA Finals matchup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Knicks vs. Thunder be the 2025 NBA Finals matchup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Israel military action against Iran in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Donald Trump issue fewer than 10 executive orders in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+404.5%+$80.9
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+206.2%+$41.24
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$10.63
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump remove Harvard's Intl Student ban before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
US military action against Iran before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Trump approval Up or Down this week?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Will Donald Trump issue 15-19 executive orders in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Donald Trump issue fewer than 15 executive orders in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+492.5%+$142.82
Trump approval >40% on June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump say "Percent" 7+ times at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+143.9%+$19.26
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Wimbledon: Bencic vs. Swiatek (W) backed Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Wimbledon: Andreeva vs. Bencic (W) backed Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+25%+$3.27
Wimbledon: De Minaur vs. Djokovic backed De Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Coco Gauff win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+386.1%+$57.92
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2025 French Open? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
French Open: Sabalenka vs. Qinwenbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+55.2%+$27.58
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick12cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-43.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+616.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+616.7%+$123.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+185.1%+$37.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+42.4%+$42.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Inter end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.