Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump remove Harvard's Intl Student ban before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff935388701627d66677db4f893df4c5a6b0245c5a372884bd7ae857baf60e61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 29c | 5,228$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.07 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 64c | 4,499$2,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.04 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa130…b662backed Yes | 20c | 3,231$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3b…3035backed Yes | 39c | 2,829$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.26 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…6e0bbacked Yes | 18c | 2,767$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.59 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 30c | 2,475$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.37 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd477…12b4backed Yes | 21c | 2,351$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 14c | 2,172$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 10c | 2,086$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.27 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 16c | 2,054$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.24 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 21c | 1,874$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.12 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 15c | 1,862$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.62 | 187 | 25.1%47 W · 140 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 56c | 1,754$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.02 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b0…338abacked Yes | 18c | 1,752$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.63 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…09f2backed No | 66c | 1,718$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.3 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd71…d127backed No | 79c | 1,416$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.15 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…36afbacked Yes | 16c | 1,317$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.02 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Yes | 29c | 1,245$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 15c | 1,208$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.15 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…29ccbacked Yes | 68c | 1,208$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 75c | 1,125$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.9 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 11c | 1,077$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.51 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 54c | 1,071$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.22 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec97…6bedbacked Yes | 11c | 947.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked No | 74c | 888.74$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.86 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 17c | 864.7$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.37 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 79c | 863.42$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.44 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…2ef5backed Yes | 24c | 841.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb011…2d13backed Yes | 20c | 825.58$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.37 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 10c | 812.94$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.95 | 183 | 22.4%41 W · 142 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aad…18f4backed Yes | 31c | 750$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked No | 71c | 743$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.49 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8981…ce82backed Yes | 24c | 722.7$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.18 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed No | 64c | 713.45$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.07 | 144 | 60.4%87 W · 57 L | +16.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 39c | 685.34$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.51 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a49…7447backed Yes | 18c | 613.64$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.64 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked Yes | 18c | 603.43$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.19 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked No | 79c | 598.04$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.68 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e11…b846backed Yes | 17c | 560$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x071a…d310backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc8…e458backed Yes | 37c | 538.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…e674backed Yes | 20c | 522.1$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…cf2abacked Yes | 26c | 519.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.1 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…aba3backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb04…faf0backed No | 79c | 504.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -58%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed No | 78c | 500.69$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc2…e3f4backed No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…a23ebacked No | 60c | 499.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 77c | 499.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8add…fc2abacked Yes | 36c | 497.73$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 74c | 454$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.98 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d5…df70backed Yes | 9c | 445.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 20c | 415.66$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.77 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288e…9ca7backed Yes | 23c | 400$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed Yes | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed Yes | 18c | 398.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7a…5015backed Yes | 13c | 397.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +130.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 13c | 390.72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cf…69fdbacked Yes | 21c | 376.54$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…dc48backed Yes | 14c | 370.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7660…9d88backed Yes | 19c | 362.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1c…320ebacked Yes | 34c | 352.6$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e1…1282backed No | 78c | 351.32$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…cd54backed Yes | 35c | 340.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…ee45backed Yes | 17c | 340.27$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 18c | 330$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…5c8fbacked No | 60c | 325$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.81 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdca…62e8backed Yes | 23c | 322.48$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…8e47backed No | 65c | 320.54$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…ef1abacked No | 63c | 318.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…7cb2backed Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 17c | 299.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 193 | 28.5%55 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Yes | 35c | 282.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccda…4937backed Yes | 36c | 280.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf960…ba50backed Yes | 25c | 270$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.35 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 11c | 266.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…41c5backed Yes | 19c | 262.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c4…4ee2backed No | 77c | 259.87$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d0…4e7dbacked Yes | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…b486backed Yes | 41c | 242.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…7bc1backed No | 69c | 240$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.6 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…3378backed Yes | 43c | 240$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -44%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989b…d3b0backed No | 62c | 240$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae5c…53ddbacked Yes | 22c | 239.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…4f51backed No | 80c | 232.63$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Yes | 44c | 229.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 74c | 228.95$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.63 | 175 | 44.6%78 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0a56backed Yes | 44c | 225.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…1edcbacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6c…287fbacked Yes | 48c | 210.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Yes | 8c | 202$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7377…6414backed Yes | 33c | 200$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ab…bae4backed Yes | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 29c | 184.01$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0843…1e7cbacked Yes | 56c | 179.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf75a…3e62backed Yes | 19c | 170.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…c58abacked Yes | 18c | 167.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…147cbacked No | 80c | 162.56$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 80cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…8ad7backed Yes | 27c | 152.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.