NBA · resolved market
Which conference wins NBA Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94a9dabbc91063932d2d27a51f086a5d6c3e35613d173d9e759c1657bc34a1e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Westof East, West
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $300,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $321,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde4d…0b85backed East | 32c | 54,104$17,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,313.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3499…4f27backed West | 68c | 54,104$36,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,313.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8679…4659backed West | 60c | 38,130$22,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,201.95 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…8b98backed East | 32c | 25,447$8,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,033.56 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed East | 45c | 22,222$10,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,022.12 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed West | 51c | 19,441$9,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,499.91 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed East | 51c | 17,217$8,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,721.13 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed East | 29c | 14,735$4,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,309.46 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed East | 35c | 11,198$3,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,938.53 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked West | 73c | 10,771$7,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,908.27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked West | 75c | 5,259$3,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.46 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed West | 73c | 5,206$3,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.79 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked West | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked West | 72c | 4,990$3,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked West | 56c | 4,825$2,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.32 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked West | 75c | 4,297$3,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.89 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…13b6backed West | 56c | 3,800$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3df0…48f0backed West | 53c | 2,264$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed West | 67c | 2,017$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.66 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f7…00f9backed East | 43c | 2,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked East | 33c | 1,986$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.2 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…3e65backed East | 52c | 1,512$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.59 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -9.0wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked East | 21c | 1,462$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.28 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed East | 19c | 1,423$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.62 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed East | 19c | 1,254$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.7 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f31…cb74backed East | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 26cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed West | 52c | 800.72$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.35 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked West | 78c | 694$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.68 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed East | 50c | 631.58$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd00c…8637backed East | 26c | 624.4$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked West | 48c | 541.09$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.37 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked East | 30c | 465.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.02 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed West | 20c | 448.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.19 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed East | 49c | 426.53$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked West | 49c | 398.08$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed West | 48c | 375.7$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.36 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed East | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed West | 70c | 319.91$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.31 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked West | 49c | 283.4$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed West | 50c | 281.14$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.57 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed West | 50c | 217.5$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.46 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked West | 67c | 216.14$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.89 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…f779backed West | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked East | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -77%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed West | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed West | 61c | 192.18$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.22 | 356 | 60.4%215 W · 141 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d2…6031backed West | 75c | 190$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked West | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked West | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed West | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed West | 52c | 188.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 99 | 39.4%39 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked West | 75c | 187.14$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | +21.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5080…610bbacked West | 67c | 163.63$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.63 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb220…b07cbacked West | 71c | 159$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…d1c9backed East | 51c | 150.73$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked East | 51c | 150.72$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.87 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…b20dbacked West | 69c | 144.27$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed East | 27c | 144$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0605…93c6backed West | 53c | 122.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked East | 16c | 121.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed East | 27c | 114.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff0…6ac4backed East | 51c | 114.69$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5198…543dbacked West | 50c | 114.68$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed East | 23c | 112.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked East | 47c | 109.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 99 | 4%4 W · 95 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff73…76d3backed East | 29c | 102.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked West | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed East | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…9d02backed East | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae5…a554backed East | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46db…f7babacked West | 80c | 98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…ca63backed West | 79c | 83.88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…224bbacked West | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ee…a881backed West | 50c | 82.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb3…dd27backed East | 51c | 82.16$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f79…d52bbacked East | 51c | 77.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d32…cc36backed West | 50c | 77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…ae14backed East | 28c | 72.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked East | 28c | 68.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…48f2backed East | 37c | 67.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed West | 67c | 66.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…71eebacked East | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed West | 49c | 66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…f768backed East | 37c | 65.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…8acbbacked East | 39c | 63.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed West | 52c | 57.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa43e…aef5backed West | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed West | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked West | 50c | 49.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked West | 49c | 48.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked West | 69c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1baa…c8f4backed West | 78c | 42.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked East | 27c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed West | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ea…43d1backed West | 53c | 31.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1788…155fbacked West | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50d7…33dcbacked East | 51c | 30.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a0…eabdbacked West | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a19…643bbacked West | 53c | 29.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66a7…c764backed West | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.