Us Politics · resolved market
Will Donald Trump issue fewer than 10 executive orders in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0926fbba9af04909f509d9767b13ccb2c9759fc847d833e30ae4ce7f5a7dfe9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Yes | 27c | 1,930$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.53 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 43c | 1,749$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.1 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 42c | 1,066$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.62 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dde…94c3backed No | 75c | 1,041$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.64 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 49c | 904.48$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.8 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x967c…a16dbacked Yes | 33c | 883.67$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.74 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…e61bbacked No | 22c | 869.98$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.29 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed No | 57c | 540$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.4 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…3fccbacked No | 76c | 525.35$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…ae94backed No | 51c | 519.13$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.48 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +88%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 33c | 472.87$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.03 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…01abbacked Yes | 73c | 464.22$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.22 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 64c | 440.71$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.17 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…b395backed No | 65c | 440.31$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.66 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked No | 66c | 400$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10d6…a48cbacked Yes | 10c | 359.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.14 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5320…f3b2backed No | 37c | 271.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 66c | 250$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.1 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e11…b846backed Yes | 10c | 220$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.98 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 69c | 211.38$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…0b68backed Yes | 31c | 203$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.72 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 31c | 200.2$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.14 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed No | 44c | 188.15$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 20c | 184.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.34 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f8…2903backed Yes | 55c | 175$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.27 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…c418backed Yes | 35c | 165$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 73c | 159.66$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.95 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…b593backed Yes | 43c | 155.07$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.98 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…56d0backed Yes | 33c | 152.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 42c | 148.45$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.13 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 67c | 142.36$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe3…00b9backed Yes | 75c | 133.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…1a0cbacked Yes | 29c | 120$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…71eebacked Yes | 20c | 100.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.9 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d08…733dbacked Yes | 57c | 94.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 35c | 87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 252 | 41.7%105 W · 147 L | -17.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 64c | 84.19$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ea…1c57backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 33c | 78.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 183 | 22.4%41 W · 142 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8931…6698backed Yes | 46c | 77.37$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed No | 62c | 75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…f004backed Yes | 37c | 67.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 40c | 56.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Yes | 20c | 54.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 31c | 48.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a49…7447backed No | 59c | 31.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 68c | 28.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…b071backed Yes | 37c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc861…ba40backed Yes | 67c | 27.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…7919backed Yes | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…8321backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce5…e4f7backed Yes | 71c | 15.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump issue fewer than 10 executive orders in June?this page
- Will Donald Trump issue 10-14 executive orders in June?No won
- Will Donald Trump issue 15-19 executive orders in June?No won
- Will Donald Trump issue 20-24 executive orders in June?No won
- Will Donald Trump issue 25-29 executive orders in June?No won
- Will Donald Trump issue 30-34 executive orders in June?No won
- Will Donald Trump issue 35-39 executive orders in June?No won
- Will Donald Trump issue 40 or more executive orders in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.