TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$316,081
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$366,502

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $316,081 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ef2…f473backed Yes17c29,786$4,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,860.27277.4%2 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-62.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Yes80c20,524$16,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,152.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes32c19,027$6,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,972.62917.7%7 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-76.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No40c14,686$5,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,894.023447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Yes39c13,527$5,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,236.09933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24c2…10cebacked Yes42c13,332$5,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,755.22425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid-40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed No57c11,583$6,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,615.371225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-45.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yes77c10,048$7,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,358.78742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde97…e43ebacked Yes37c7,500$2,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,722.25714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-61.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x768f…d08cbacked Yes16c6,967$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,861.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+529.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked No21c6,878$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,423.221833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-46.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No70c5,000$3,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,498.67450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb636…32bbbacked No68c4,662$3,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,158.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick72cpaid-55%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes66c4,575$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes15c4,468$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,789.521540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed No69c4,311$2,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,993.344540%18 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeec0…34c8backed Yes79c3,678$2,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.973100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeecc…9222backed Yes71c3,263$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.91250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14af…3923backed Yes16c3,049$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.15812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick9cpaid-23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes24c2,796$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,137.44918.4%9 W · 40 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8854…882dbacked Yes78c2,591$2,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5abb…8633backed Yes19c2,528$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,060.32520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes72c2,311$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-65.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed No76c2,183$1,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,663.3837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.28per pick66cpaid-45.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9bd5…57acbacked No21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbba2…5172backed No31c1,700$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68a1…7c68backed No14c1,670$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.2730%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked No2c1,500$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.540%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes66c1,487$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.131154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f5…dab4backed Yes16c1,416$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.86650%3 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+153.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No66c1,253$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.281650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b16…961fbacked Yes16c1,250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick19cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No46c1,193$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.255341.5%22 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Yes22c1,083$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.011421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba6…09eabacked Yes16c1,057$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.7450%2 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+240.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes24c1,019$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.044520%9 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed58…331dbacked Yes18c1,011$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.24147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick23cpaid-59.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes15c1,000$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853825%2 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ff…01c0backed No22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2606…aaddbacked Yes79c1,000$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed No2c1,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185133.3%17 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…d4bfbacked Yes77c993.45$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No49c962.35$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.642725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-64%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed No40c938.73$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.41616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-79.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe932…0f05backed Yes32c851.71$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.04850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0102…e4d2backed Yes16c839.72$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.723823.7%9 W · 29 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes40c808.52$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.811910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-52.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28ae…be7fbacked Yes13c688.15$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.69911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f12…5771backed Yes80c647.71$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.71728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-62.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9658…0129backed Yes16c625.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.13333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick13cpaid+108.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No20c600$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ed…e60abacked Yes14c525.79$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.794914.3%7 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2873…ad0abacked No67c523.56$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes38c503$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.2214043.6%61 W · 79 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+1.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b7a…4817backed No35c499.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.5633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfafa…3947backed No35c498$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69aa…8847backed Yes79c491$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes22c486.81$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.466746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed No22c461.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100180%0 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed No18c438.41$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.964323.3%10 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6605…a568backed Yes19c425.1$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.1922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick12cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No70c417.71$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.56742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-44.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Yes31c330.71$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.751315.4%2 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick15cpaid-63.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8db6…da81backed Yes32c313.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.52316.5%2 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-58.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0938…f2d1backed Yes16c305.01$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.01333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+103.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe10…95cbbacked No69c300$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+87.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x855f…cfb0backed Yes14c298.4$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.832711.1%3 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick7cpaid-38%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes21c280.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.57156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-68.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a3d…8322backed No77c265.6$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No61c261.04$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.47728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-62%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d6b…9b91backed Yes79c253.2$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa946…fa19backed Yes16c248.45$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.45333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+107%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadb7…2983backed Yes16c242.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.112035%7 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick28cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes21c242$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.574035%14 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b8a…8f1bbacked No22c229.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198b…a1dcbacked No63c220$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.2630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x482a…7defbacked Yes16c207$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.1306.7%2 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-60.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes53c201$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.54450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+82.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked No21c199.96$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.79812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes31c191.39$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.9425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid-19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed Yes45c180.35$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.79540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x065f…2e80backed Yes28c179.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.82128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-70%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3acc…98c3backed Yes79c158.73$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes16c151.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.52166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-62.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcec3…53a1backed Yes79c146.92$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8039…6b4bbacked Yes66c141.19$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.52128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-87.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes31c139$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.514916.3%8 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…baf2backed Yes73c134.2$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No36c133.07$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.412343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaa9…d992backed No22c125.09$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…71eebacked Yes16c122.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick12cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b3c…5eddbacked Yes21c121.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+142.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed No34c117.06$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.83411.8%4 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-80.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x07c6…98b0backed No21c116.93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x476a…2a22backed Yes77c107.8$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb97…1aa0backed Yes20c101.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.52520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f74…a238backed No23c100.96$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e35…c89abacked No71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.140%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Yes76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.