Golf · resolved market
Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 PGA Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f8323ccf2ebd280fc9798266470be7b5d24e05b5ea7ac406360f88d6e8f70a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $209,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $218,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Yes | 13c | 50,680$6,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,580.34 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 16c | 23,800$3,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,822.61 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed No | 71c | 14,842$10,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,315.51 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…08c9backed Yes | 0c | 10,880$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Yes | 13c | 10,000$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 12c | 6,657$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.64 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -90.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 11c | 5,893$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.42 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed Yes | 10c | 3,568$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e17…2e74backed Yes | 13c | 2,950$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 13c | 2,504$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…2720backed Yes | 9c | 2,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes | 12c | 2,473$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…875cbacked Yes | 12c | 2,255$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.47 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe352…f259backed Yes | 11c | 2,247$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Yes | 10c | 1,665$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 10c | 1,650$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 1,129$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 15c | 1,038$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.18 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Yes | 6c | 800$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68f…6fdfbacked Yes | 10c | 685.11$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.88 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 4c | 523.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 3c | 405.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 71c | 352$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 12c | 305.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 298$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 295 | 3.7%11 W · 284 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…644bbacked Yes | 15c | 298$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa946…fa19backed Yes | 12c | 291.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +107%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…e60abacked Yes | 15c | 290$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Yes | 9c | 288$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 9c | 285.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8039…6b4bbacked Yes | 10c | 257$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…0d06backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8de…c07fbacked Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…7defbacked Yes | 11c | 226$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5080…610bbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 10c | 199.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…fdf7backed Yes | 15c | 172$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd62…e5cfbacked Yes | 12c | 121.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 12c | 120$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04e7…5c79backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 12c | 98.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadae…058abacked Yes | 13c | 81.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…b2a6backed Yes | 23c | 71.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…259cbacked Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 PGA Championship?this page
- Will Alex Noren win The 2025 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Cameron Young win The 2025 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Davis Riley win The 2025 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Jhonattan Vegas win The 2025 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Jordan Spieth win The 2025 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Max Homa win The 2025 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Sahith Theegala win The 2025 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Sam Burns win The 2025 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?Yes won
- Will Si Woo Kim win The 2025 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Tom Kim win The 2025 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Tony Finau win The 2025 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Xander Schauffele win The 2025 PGA Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.