TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 PGA Championship?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,398
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,730

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,398 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x24df…e8b2backed Yes3c8,334$250 inLost-$250.021216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+336.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5695…f8edbacked Yes1c3,000$33 inLost-$33.481618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick15cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes1c2,579$30 inLost-$30.13230%0 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c1,915$11 inLost-$112953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x482a…7defbacked Yes4c1,319$48 inLost-$48.04306.7%2 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-60.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes4c905.53$35 inLost-$35.32425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid-19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes3c867.47$30 inLost-$30.241910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-52.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes1c811$10 inLost-$10.3850%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…71eebacked Yes4c492.56$19 inLost-$19616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick12cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes4c339.36$14 inLost-$14.06917.7%7 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-76.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8210…b328backed Yes4c250$10 inLost-$1050%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.