NBA · resolved market

Will Pascal Siakam Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b3264fcf4d000ca1f8cc869c7e62f527301ac27ba7508f59789486fbc6d1517

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 23, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $149,389
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $108,100

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,389 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x067f…e041backed Yes	9c	10,026$901 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$901.31	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0416…9b31backed No	79c	8,844$7,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,843.71	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed No	79c	8,233$6,464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,769.38	368	43.8%161 W · 207 L	-17.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes	12c	7,107$828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$827.76	31	29%9 W · 22 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bdf…1bf4backed Yes	7c	6,500$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.5	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.7wins	-0.30per pick	41cpaid	-81%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xed10…d2e5backed Yes	21c	5,000$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	67cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda01…9694backed Yes	20c	4,975$1,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,001.59	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa431…677fbacked Yes	19c	4,427$856 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$856.17	84	17.9%15 W · 69 L	-10.2wins	-0.12per pick	30cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7eee…5d47backed Yes	21c	4,325$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-2.9wins	-0.11per pick	33cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Yes	15c	3,977$603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$603.19	30	20%6 W · 24 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd0f…ab47backed Yes	19c	3,548$665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$664.75	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5a…024bbacked Yes	23c	2,940$670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$670.23	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2d6…d648backed Yes	8c	2,372$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.87	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes	21c	2,251$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.51	394	49.2%194 W · 200 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Yes	20c	2,170$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425	53	30.2%16 W · 37 L	-7.4wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x908b…4c15backed Yes	6c	1,736$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.2	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	10cpaid	-91.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0c3…0230backed Yes	21c	1,710$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365.16	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e27…0ee1backed Yes	6c	1,663$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	73	43.8%32 W · 41 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes	6c	1,608$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.86	222	43.7%97 W · 125 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Yes	10c	1,426$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.16	233	42.9%100 W · 133 L	+10.6wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b42…ae6ebacked Yes	22c	1,341$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	136	36.8%50 W · 86 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x09a5…b5c3backed Yes	23c	1,304$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.4	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	7c	1,211$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.12	1,132	17%192 W · 940 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2751…1678backed Yes	13c	1,163$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	72	30.6%22 W · 50 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc57b…0a2bbacked Yes	2c	1,138$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	43	23.3%10 W · 33 L	-3.7wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Yes	18c	1,083$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	131	53.4%70 W · 61 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes	5c	1,057$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.18	45	17.8%8 W · 37 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-75.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes	22c	1,051$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.37	105	42.9%45 W · 60 L	+6.1wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x02c8…5c16backed Yes	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f0e…f969backed Yes	5c	999.99$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.9	49	22.4%11 W · 38 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+43%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed No	80c	989.12$791 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.82	227	50.2%114 W · 113 L	+24.8wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x912a…0f92backed Yes	5c	952.03$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.33	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	15cpaid	-89.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c8c…13c9backed Yes	21c	930$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.75	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Yes	12c	846$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.83	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	17c	679.65$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.49	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27cf…6a19backed Yes	18c	601.01$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Yes	7c	577$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.76	412	27.4%113 W · 299 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	+94.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cbf…4665backed Yes	4c	573.85$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	10	20%2 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-56%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed No	76c	548.01$419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.33	83	50.6%42 W · 41 L	+6.4wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x490f…17e5backed Yes	13c	543.95$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.49	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31dd…54d4backed Yes	6c	519.64$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.1	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-3.6wins	-0.16per pick	46cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7eaf…5648backed Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Yes	8c	475.59$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.93	25	32%8 W · 17 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29a0…3679backed Yes	23c	472.76$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0cb…8e37backed Yes	3c	464.68$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9570…c030backed Yes	22c	462.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x258d…cd31backed Yes	23c	442.3$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x150d…b399backed Yes	23c	423.65$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.01	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes	5c	410.56$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	73	37%27 W · 46 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd621…bc07backed Yes	5c	391.14$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.2	95	55.8%53 W · 42 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes	9c	390.92$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.65	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076c…ae49backed Yes	5c	377.1$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	10	30%3 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x832b…3ae1backed Yes	21c	350$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.21	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes	3c	333.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d5…a491backed Yes	8c	325.98$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	91	31.9%29 W · 62 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+32.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x147e…429ebacked Yes	23c	322.99$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+6.3wins	+0.20per pick	37cpaid	+48.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x921a…ee8dbacked Yes	24c	301.27$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.22per pick	37cpaid	-68.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x049a…b22abacked Yes	11c	300$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x625c…61d1backed Yes	19c	289.89$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	47	25.5%12 W · 35 L	+3.6wins	+0.08per pick	18cpaid	+55.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0e8…2688backed Yes	6c	270.02$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.51	59	32.2%19 W · 40 L	-9.7wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd02e…e1b1backed Yes	6c	261$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.88	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes	7c	259.5$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.86	220	41.4%91 W · 129 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a26…8acbbacked Yes	23c	242.76$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	44	22.7%10 W · 34 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes	6c	242.65$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.33	79	5.1%4 W · 75 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabdf…e8e4backed Yes	21c	234.74$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb23…1568backed Yes	23c	216.82$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6459…7dc0backed Yes	23c	216.3$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.38	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8487…a315backed Yes	23c	215.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x811b…6654backed Yes	14c	210.23$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.67	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	28cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb89e…e153backed Yes	48c	210.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.10per pick	34cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdb…496fbacked Yes	21c	209.99$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.47	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd085…ba5cbacked Yes	5c	206$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb6…0d3abacked Yes	6c	197$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.23	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc33…b8f6backed Yes	6c	185$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.92	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0391…9b72backed Yes	6c	183$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.43	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes	18c	181$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.89	1,113	41.6%463 W · 650 L	-10.0wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed Yes	20c	160$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.98	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	-28%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7324…b7edbacked Yes	23c	154.91$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x084d…2f47backed Yes	20c	149$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6de4…6a12backed Yes	8c	141$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.56	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb500…ce53backed Yes	12c	125$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	12cpaid	-79%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	79c	113$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.98	132	40.2%53 W · 79 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Yes	22c	111.11$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1148…b5f4backed Yes	15c	103.32$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.1	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7468…d218backed Yes	23c	101.77$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.35	353	52.4%185 W · 168 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28bf…ae14backed Yes	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.3	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x432d…bda6backed Yes	23c	97.96$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.53	109	58.7%64 W · 45 L	+7.1wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3a5…6588backed Yes	22c	93$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa999…cc23backed Yes	22c	90.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cb9…1649backed Yes	22c	87.68$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.64	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e6d…6d01backed Yes	22c	87$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.05	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d63…f5cbbacked Yes	24c	83.7$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes	21c	79.16$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	930	41.9%390 W · 540 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe189…7626backed Yes	23c	75$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.03	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x597b…0937backed Yes	22c	63$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93d8…6f37backed Yes	20c	62$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.59	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…71eebacked Yes	18c	60.59$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b20…ac1cbacked Yes	21c	51$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cab…c93bbacked Yes	22c	51$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Pascal Siakam Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?this page
Will Aaron Gordon Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
Will Anthony Edwards Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
Will Chet Holmgren Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
Will Darius Garland Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
Will Derrick White Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
Will Donovan Mitchell Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
Will Evan Mobley Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
Will Jalen Brunson Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
Will Jalen Williams Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
Will Jaylen Brown Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
Will Jayson Tatum Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
Will Jimmy Butler Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
Will Julius Randle Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
Will Karl-Anthony Towns Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
Will Kristaps Porzingis Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
Will LeBron James Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
Will Luka Doncic Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
Will Mikal Bridges Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
Will Nikola Jokic Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
Will OG Anunoby Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?Yes won
Will Stephen Curry Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
Will Tyrese Haliburton Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Pascal Siakam Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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