TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will Anthony Edwards Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,019
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,554

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,019 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0ced…12b2backed Yes16c10,000$1,599 inLost-$1,599.412317.4%4 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-70.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes1c2,950$19 inLost-$19.494517.8%8 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-75.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc5…0c52backed Yes5c1,021$56 inLost-$55.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes4c946.64$38 inLost-$38.3922041.4%91 W · 129 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Yes10c723.56$70 inLost-$69.73020%6 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0f4…c5d1backed Yes6c669$38 inLost-$38.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes8c597.03$50 inLost-$50.435942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab1e…1b05backed Yes11c465.3$52 inLost-$52.11330.8%4 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae2d…8f7bbacked Yes11c367.02$40 inLost-$401540%6 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick26cpaid-6.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d4b…559cbacked Yes6c367$21 inLost-$21.25520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-72.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes8c306$24 inLost-$23.5816537%61 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908b…4c15backed Yes11c292.01$31 inLost-$30.89195.3%1 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick10cpaid-91.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57f0…d33dbacked Yes8c245.89$19 inLost-$192313%3 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-73.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d34…17e8backed Yes16c234.59$37 inLost-$37.021414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick17cpaid+94%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes8c195.01$16 inLost-$16.119543.2%41 W · 54 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f04…08c5backed Yes12c172.62$20 inLost-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6678…d4b6backed Yes12c168.58$20 inLost-$207233.3%24 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes17c166.76$28 inLost-$27.71984.1%4 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-61.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70b…7f1ebacked Yes16c163$27 inLost-$26.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cbb…89abbacked Yes8c150$12 inLost-$12.151145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68ba…5ba6backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes15c100$15 inLost-$14.856040%24 W · 36 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x16ec…8044backed Yes13c77$10 inLost-$101553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.