NBA · resolved market
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6de2e10501f82a91e012ab54223416fcd3644b0ec054bdb22a68e2062527e50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $951,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $981,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $951,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2e4…75f7backed Yes | 33c | 57,432$18,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,479.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cd…3be3backed No | 67c | 57,432$38,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,479.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…70ddbacked No | 67c | 56,623$37,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,937.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc61…805dbacked Yes | 33c | 56,623$18,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,937.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…2be2backed Yes | 43c | 38,922$16,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,185.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…748bbacked No | 57c | 38,922$22,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,185.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc5…50bbbacked Yes | 35c | 37,547$13,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,405.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +154%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2883…293dbacked No | 65c | 37,547$24,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,405.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…8240backed Yes | 52c | 36,211$18,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,381.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122f…0412backed No | 48c | 36,211$17,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,381.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8869…6f1ebacked No | 65c | 31,922$20,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,749.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…fd3bbacked Yes | 35c | 31,922$11,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,749.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…6119backed Yes | 39c | 31,902$12,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,460.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa86c…a8c3backed No | 61c | 31,902$19,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,460.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3253…03f9backed No | 42c | 29,867$12,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,544.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5118…8488backed Yes | 58c | 29,867$17,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,544.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7729backed Yes | 59c | 27,299$16,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,192.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…5986backed No | 41c | 27,299$11,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,192.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…8060backed Yes | 75c | 22,724$16,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,759.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 26c | 16,201$4,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,202.84 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed No | 22c | 12,103$2,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.18 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Yes | 73c | 12,038$8,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,271.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f43…fab3backed Yes | 71c | 11,766$8,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,452.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 78c | 9,935$7,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,230.52 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Yes | 69c | 9,322$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,921.52 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Yes | 73c | 7,504$5,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.41 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed No | 29c | 6,586$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.94 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…1b09backed Yes | 68c | 5,555$3,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed No | 32c | 5,066$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.68 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 65c | 4,941$3,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.76 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 37c | 3,514$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.18 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b57…31e3backed Yes | 75c | 3,343$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…c364backed No | 19c | 2,779$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.67 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked No | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 27c | 2,455$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.66 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed No | 24c | 2,303$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.6 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 20c | 2,277$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.57 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 31c | 2,262$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.36 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 64c | 2,191$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.24 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Yes | 46c | 2,184$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.85 | 147 | 27.9%41 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked No | 19c | 2,137$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.97 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 79c | 1,811$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.81 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 55c | 1,753$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.51 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 30c | 1,625$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.5 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 75c | 1,587$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.46 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…5f21backed Yes | 35c | 1,419$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes | 79c | 1,385$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…3ae7backed Yes | 67c | 1,243$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6012…7cd2backed Yes | 78c | 1,179$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.77 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Yes | 74c | 1,117$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.68 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 76c | 1,001$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.6 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…e9ffbacked No | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -86%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yes | 53c | 1,000$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.53 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed No | 8c | 980.42$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.41 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 66c | 955.13$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.94 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 56c | 927.55$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.75 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked No | 60c | 728.72$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.2 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 16c | 683.5$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 59c | 654.87$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.12 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 54c | 601.95$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked Yes | 48c | 597.6$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 28c | 531.19$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.57 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked No | 38c | 525$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Yes | 79c | 507.42$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.42 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked Yes | 70c | 500.2$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.39 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…f1a6backed No | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked Yes | 42c | 490$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda01…9694backed Yes | 70c | 475.41$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…ae14backed Yes | 68c | 471.99$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 76c | 455$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.08 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec01…6592backed Yes | 71c | 453.15$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.97 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 26c | 436.22$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…577abacked Yes | 68c | 428.3$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…1678backed Yes | 48c | 420.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.18 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 34c | 394.24$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.52 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed No | 32c | 375$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…f7e0backed Yes | 77c | 352.68$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.31 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…5e57backed Yes | 70c | 342.86$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 18c | 335.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 25c | 329.2$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.83 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 76c | 328$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.34 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46db…f7babacked No | 21c | 327.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736c…7470backed Yes | 47c | 317.25$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc8…e458backed Yes | 71c | 316.9$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.9 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb220…b07cbacked No | 22c | 303.95$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked No | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 68c | 289.63$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.68 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 64c | 269.35$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.69 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…6221backed No | 25c | 254.72$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 22c | 250.58$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a3…f914backed Yes | 76c | 246.9$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 65c | 240.06$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.04 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a20…c0bcbacked No | 44c | 230.61$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b18…7e98backed No | 50c | 214.5$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…179ebacked Yes | 51c | 212.39$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab98…a89ebacked Yes | 73c | 210.96$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes | 79c | 210$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 145 | 62.8%91 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?this page
- Will Aaron Gordon Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Anthony Edwards Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Chet Holmgren Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Darius Garland Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Derrick White Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Donovan Mitchell Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Evan Mobley Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Jalen Brunson Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Jalen Williams Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Jaylen Brown Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Jayson Tatum Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Jimmy Butler Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Julius Randle Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Karl-Anthony Towns Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Kristaps Porzingis Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will LeBron James Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Luka Doncic Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Mikal Bridges Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Nikola Jokic Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will OG Anunoby Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Pascal Siakam Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Stephen Curry Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Tyrese Haliburton Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.