TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will Jayson Tatum Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$183,973
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$163,690

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,973 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99ee…dd52backed No75c45,476$34,107 inWon+$11,3691100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe66b…2eeebacked Yes25c45,476$11,369 inLost-$11,36910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c15,000$30 inLost-$301550%0 W · 155 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes11c1,300$145 inLost-$144.715219.1%29 W · 123 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x883e…31dfbacked Yes26c1,283$338 inLost-$338.064910.2%5 W · 44 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No78c1,000$780 inWon+$2201,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed No77c827.31$639 inWon+$188.1523237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes9c637.27$60 inLost-$59.881,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc047…fecbbacked Yes21c444$93 inLost-$93.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No75c270.67$203 inWon+$67.672,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cf0…fd3abacked Yes26c266.06$70 inLost-$705127.5%14 W · 37 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+49.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes11c187.67$21 inLost-$20.751,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes23c162.28$38 inLost-$37.69190%0 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes22c161.93$36 inLost-$35.6222041.4%91 W · 129 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa3b…0061backed Yes24c144$35 inLost-$34.56580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+49.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No79c111$88 inWon+$23.3140133.4%134 W · 267 L+27.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes23c100$23 inLost-$23427.1%3 W · 39 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-84.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes24c100$24 inLost-$2420443.6%89 W · 115 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb99…8c33backed No76c80$61 inWon+$19.2944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b0b…cc73backed Yes27c74.55$20 inLost-$202860.7%17 W · 11 L+5.0wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+50.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xf385…4864backed No77c21$16 inWon+$4.831747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.