Tennis · resolved market
French Open: Sabalenka vs. Qinwen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x018591843488ad899a3a82ebb1bc8718471d5512304c4de7fa6935e7dfabec23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabalenkaof Sabalenka, Qinwen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Sabalenka | 74c | 15,000$11,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Qinwen | 26c | 11,274$2,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,927.43 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…6a9bbacked Qinwen | 20c | 9,353$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.05 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Qinwen | 27c | 7,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Qinwen | 26c | 6,425$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.49 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Sabalenka | 73c | 5,956$4,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.78 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Qinwen | 33c | 5,061$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.83 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17e…0200backed Qinwen | 28c | 4,465$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Sabalenka | 73c | 4,168$3,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.72 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…38eabacked Sabalenka | 74c | 3,451$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.35 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Sabalenka | 66c | 3,200$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…4036backed Sabalenka | 77c | 3,120$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.93 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Qinwen | 15c | 3,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Qinwen | 26c | 2,902$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.54 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Qinwen | 24c | 1,994$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Qinwen | 26c | 1,888$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.99 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Qinwen | 18c | 1,813$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Sabalenka | 56c | 1,332$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.42 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Sabalenka | 73c | 1,248$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.97 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Qinwen | 25c | 1,240$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.59 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Qinwen | 47c | 1,199$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.56 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed Sabalenka | 79c | 1,150$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Qinwen | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…6887backed Qinwen | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…a627backed Sabalenka | 73c | 999.98$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Qinwen | 29c | 962.12$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.17 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Sabalenka | 66c | 912.29$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.29 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc48…6dcdbacked Sabalenka | 65c | 900$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60f…7d85backed Sabalenka | 51c | 776.99$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.73 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2d…673fbacked Sabalenka | 74c | 746.77$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.16 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…aac8backed Sabalenka | 54c | 736.36$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.36 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Sabalenka | 62c | 700$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Qinwen | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sabalenka | 73c | 528.78$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.3 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…5eacbacked Qinwen | 18c | 518.61$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…756dbacked Sabalenka | 74c | 505.41$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.41 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Sabalenka | 74c | 501.24$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.24 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…1ddbbacked Qinwen | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…4275backed Sabalenka | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Qinwen | 25c | 475.03$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.76 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…59f3backed Sabalenka | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…84e4backed Qinwen | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Qinwen | 29c | 348.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x940e…105abacked Qinwen | 29c | 341.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Qinwen | 26c | 316.44$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.38 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Sabalenka | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Sabalenka | 72c | 280.34$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.42 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Sabalenka | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Sabalenka | 60c | 266.78$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.71 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Qinwen | 28c | 265$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6b…6509backed Qinwen | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bb…fc2abacked Sabalenka | 72c | 207.57$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Qinwen | 38c | 205.17$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.18 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Sabalenka | 69c | 202.94$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.91 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29db…ae12backed Qinwen | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Qinwen | 26c | 199.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…790bbacked Qinwen | 28c | 189$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f22cbacked Qinwen | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Sabalenka | 72c | 167.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cc…769cbacked Qinwen | 13c | 161.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa78…7248backed Qinwen | 12c | 149.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -81%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Sabalenka | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Sabalenka | 73c | 130$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked Sabalenka | 73c | 112.47$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…5921backed Sabalenka | 73c | 112.47$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9136…7169backed Qinwen | 29c | 100.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Sabalenka | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…059abacked Sabalenka | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Sabalenka | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Qinwen | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…ec17backed Sabalenka | 74c | 91.01$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba5…5158backed Sabalenka | 77c | 90.5$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…71eebacked Sabalenka | 64c | 77.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Sabalenka | 74c | 74.68$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Sabalenka | 73c | 73.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf282…038bbacked Sabalenka | 74c | 64.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046e…f91bbacked Sabalenka | 71c | 58.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…1e83backed Sabalenka | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Sabalenka | 73c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Qinwen | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Sabalenka | 63c | 43.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…0868backed Sabalenka | 64c | 35.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7d…b468backed Sabalenka | 71c | 33.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…2e57backed Sabalenka | 74c | 19.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.