Us Politics · resolved market
Trump approval >40% on June 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73bf3f6f59f81dedbb6e51ce4af3c8d8780d12abc2429887f86657b174b27583
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $171,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked No | 8c | 16,620$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.69 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 1c | 11,000$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2069…c7cfbacked No | 1c | 6,389$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…567bbacked No | 2c | 4,649$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.12 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed No | 16c | 3,632$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.45 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +55%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf501…8852backed No | 27c | 3,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Yes | 80c | 2,622$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.23 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec2e…95ecbacked No | 2c | 2,328$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed No | 4c | 2,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +141.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed No | 20c | 1,969$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.24 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…9b16backed No | 13c | 1,882$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.41 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d8…9c51backed No | 5c | 1,560$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.48 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d64…94a4backed No | 1c | 1,505$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…f9f2backed Yes | 77c | 1,302$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.64 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6718…80d1backed No | 15c | 1,216$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.55 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 18c | 1,171$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.09 | 141 | 25.5%36 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 2c | 1,149$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 240 | 0%0 W · 240 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec1b…c92fbacked No | 8c | 1,114$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.12 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 76c | 1,034$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.05 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed No | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…cd86backed No | 10c | 934.75$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.03 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf241…a9a8backed No | 28c | 781.9$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 16c | 773.65$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.53 | 240 | 35.4%85 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 3c | 770$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x580b…7b49backed No | 4c | 730$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed No | 3c | 699.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…b797backed No | 22c | 699.1$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.72 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 18c | 659.82$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.05 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…6110backed No | 7c | 580$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f8…2903backed No | 4c | 580$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…7930backed Yes | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked No | 16c | 499.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78f…185ebacked No | 4c | 443.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab47…298fbacked No | 15c | 420$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…955cbacked No | 13c | 400$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f8…dd0cbacked Yes | 80c | 380$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee4…8338backed No | 14c | 378.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 6c | 359.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 22c | 352.55$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.72 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5417…0204backed No | 4c | 341.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked No | 12c | 309.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…632fbacked No | 33c | 307.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 152 | 27.6%42 W · 110 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed No | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711e…487bbacked No | 5c | 297.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f35…7438backed No | 8c | 250.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x284c…57e0backed No | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…ff24backed No | 33c | 242.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…71eebacked No | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf09c…383dbacked Yes | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f2…bd77backed No | 24c | 212.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 14c | 204.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked No | 10c | 200.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…cf93backed No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 32c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.32 | 153 | 32.7%50 W · 103 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 32c | 195$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -17.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…eca5backed No | 16c | 188.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd757…94aabacked No | 32c | 182.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.27 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633f…3c8abacked No | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 80c | 147.54$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 142 | 30.3%43 W · 99 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75b9…f7a6backed No | 16c | 140$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdadd…9d14backed No | 30c | 134.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…8ddfbacked Yes | 78c | 127.78$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xada8…8650backed No | 17c | 121.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3e…d8d0backed No | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…2e92backed Yes | 69c | 116.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5326…f3efbacked No | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 10c | 113.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked No | 14c | 113.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…8f91backed No | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46a…a9c6backed No | 21c | 100.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x612f…aa53backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b90…a0c7backed No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf91d…d7cebacked No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba2…099cbacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee8…57b4backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…82a6backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a28…c1c0backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6465…e38fbacked No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed6…58b9backed Yes | 71c | 99.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +7.4wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed No | 20c | 98.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 15c | 96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2aac…dfadbacked No | 27c | 91.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed No | 30c | 85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…704cbacked No | 31c | 73.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d67…4e16backed No | 15c | 70$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…48bcbacked No | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa63a…6b70backed No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…2491backed No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe98…0befbacked No | 18c | 61.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…2423backed No | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked Yes | 72c | 52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 22c | 51.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -6.7wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x398e…3752backed Yes | 71c | 42.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…5403backed Yes | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…738fbacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc24…e86fbacked Yes | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.