Middle East · resolved market
Israel strikes Iran before August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1427872f5147e2b35cee5c12146cc6e94ff7b2c3b569d4eff296e5091010b81a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $305,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $306,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc449…2b31backed Yes | 1c | 23,764$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c3…5152backed Yes | 1c | 18,565$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 3c | 16,001$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.84 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe97c…2a99backed Yes | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 15c | 9,545$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.2 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 9,231$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…3aa4backed Yes | 15c | 8,949$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…1eeebacked No | 73c | 7,090$5,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.71 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -55%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 11c | 6,998$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.87 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed No | 78c | 6,150$4,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.77 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 23c | 4,951$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.25 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 65c | 4,192$2,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.86 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc0…3a00backed No | 60c | 4,135$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.91 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf5…661dbacked Yes | 30c | 4,014$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 145 | 20.7%30 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…3b2dbacked Yes | 34c | 3,838$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.09 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69cb…2320backed Yes | 41c | 3,745$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…254fbacked Yes | 38c | 3,718$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 18c | 3,611$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.17 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa84f…bc44backed No | 73c | 3,219$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.42 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…1db2backed Yes | 28c | 3,218$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426e…5922backed Yes | 19c | 2,908$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.62 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 74c | 2,708$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.55 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed Yes | 15c | 2,619$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.47 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x922f…69d4backed No | 75c | 2,544$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.19 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 67c | 2,406$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.82 | 162 | 46.3%75 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed Yes | 10c | 1,916$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.43 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e23…5411backed Yes | 42c | 1,805$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff1…de19backed Yes | 2c | 1,800$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 32c | 1,717$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.72 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed No | 70c | 1,473$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.21 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a9…045cbacked Yes | 33c | 1,423$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f2…0c24backed Yes | 14c | 1,389$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…2cfbbacked Yes | 16c | 1,375$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c13…559bbacked Yes | 53c | 1,367$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb273…aa63backed Yes | 11c | 1,300$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 5c | 1,230$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5d…5244backed Yes | 41c | 1,226$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 17c | 1,200$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 58c | 1,165$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.04 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 79c | 1,114$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.28 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8b…1ea1backed No | 73c | 1,099$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.93 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd063…5ccdbacked No | 74c | 1,056$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.27 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.2wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +137.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed No | 63c | 1,049$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.27 | 160 | 61.9%99 W · 61 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf85…d0b6backed Yes | 9c | 1,043$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.09 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 76c | 1,000$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.5 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b54…cb72backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa510…1f80backed Yes | 13c | 999.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 16c | 999.98$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 6c | 899.34$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked No | 80c | 898.3$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.63 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6734…fd07backed Yes | 15c | 888$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 22c | 812.86$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.58 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 9c | 800$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 153 | 24.8%38 W · 115 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…f7a4backed Yes | 15c | 799.97$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.14 | 61 | 18%11 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…692abacked Yes | 14c | 788$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c33…f52dbacked Yes | 13c | 754.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c6…7d80backed No | 78c | 752.93$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.44 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x857f…da55backed Yes | 15c | 730.95$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 74c | 722.48$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.65 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 695$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked Yes | 14c | 656.84$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.48 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 38c | 649.59$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.5 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed No | 76c | 637.5$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.55 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c39…aaabbacked Yes | 5c | 628.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 70 | 14.3%10 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…5c8fbacked No | 43c | 600$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.48 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…4ec7backed Yes | 34c | 579.43$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.01 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +121%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x233d…6a8abacked Yes | 18c | 541.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 26cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4679…5d5bbacked Yes | 32c | 495.92$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2425…3dd1backed Yes | 16c | 462.84$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +13.8wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e86…f15dbacked Yes | 26c | 462$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…c82bbacked Yes | 33c | 461.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.9 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked No | 73c | 459.98$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 23c | 403.2$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.2 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d1…40a0backed Yes | 34c | 385$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.7 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 66c | 385$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.9 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…c4ccbacked No | 71c | 371.38$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 63c | 353.61$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.97 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…65d2backed Yes | 34c | 350$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 37c | 344.06$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.79 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed No | 79c | 340.34$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.47 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…1b09backed Yes | 33c | 332.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.88 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca7…d306backed Yes | 33c | 331.73$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b8…e956backed No | 75c | 316.13$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.13 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…fe65backed Yes | 11c | 310$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked No | 73c | 308.58$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.93 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…bccebacked No | 64c | 300$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked No | 71c | 299.99$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…99bdbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e6…d9e3backed Yes | 11c | 266.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…e367backed No | 75c | 265.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.76 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 71c | 248.39$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.91 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 8c | 246.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d9…5492backed Yes | 29c | 236.84$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 34c | 236$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb83c…92bfbacked No | 66c | 233.36$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.33 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c1…3d36backed Yes | 15c | 225.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 48c | 218.64$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.69 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5516…92d1backed Yes | 14c | 216.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.