MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs. Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x645867d143812a99a22c5f98d153e05017c1353d20183c60eaebae8f0c833db1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metsof Yankees, Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $220,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $209,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Mets | 44c | 51,954$22,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,094.48 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yankees | 56c | 37,500$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,000 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Yankees | 56c | 24,345$13,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,564.48 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…293abacked Yankees | 21c | 23,761$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Mets | 43c | 17,038$7,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,711.99 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees | 56c | 10,721$6,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,034.23 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mets | 43c | 9,911$4,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,656.21 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Yankees | 7c | 7,357$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Mets | 77c | 6,509$4,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.7 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yankees | 57c | 5,541$3,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,163.72 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mets | 59c | 5,207$3,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154.29 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yankees | 45c | 2,643$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.57 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Mets | 55c | 2,283$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.67 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mets | 42c | 2,121$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.37 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yankees | 43c | 2,050$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Yankees | 56c | 2,015$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.08 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Yankees | 54c | 1,892$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Mets | 43c | 1,877$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yankees | 11c | 1,855$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.17 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yankees | 55c | 1,735$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.61 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe128…243fbacked Yankees | 1c | 1,519$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Mets | 43c | 1,500$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.25 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Yankees | 1c | 1,443$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…613cbacked Yankees | 12c | 1,227$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Mets | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Yankees | 52c | 1,097$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.31 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yankees | 1c | 1,084$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees | 57c | 1,031$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.64 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Mets | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Yankees | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yankees | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Mets | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…4cd8backed Yankees | 9c | 969.89$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yankees | 57c | 921$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.97 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mets | 43c | 899.99$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Yankees | 47c | 810.85$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.1 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…bdc1backed Mets | 43c | 797.16$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yankees | 55c | 749.98$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.49 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yankees | 9c | 734.68$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.61 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac6…f6eabacked Yankees | 16c | 721$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.36 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yankees | 55c | 699.1$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.72 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Yankees | 23c | 657.5$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Yankees | 19c | 582.79$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.73 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yankees | 18c | 551.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Yankees | 57c | 545$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.65 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2455…845abacked Yankees | 57c | 481.61$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Yankees | 58c | 427.59$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Mets | 60c | 350.04$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.52 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yankees | 11c | 347.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Yankees | 58c | 342.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Yankees | 4c | 323.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Mets | 43c | 319.33$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.02 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mets | 42c | 299.98$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yankees | 57c | 295$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.15 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Mets | 72c | 293.09$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.09 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yankees | 56c | 282.49$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.13 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Yankees | 45c | 261.44$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.65 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Yankees | 47c | 258.23$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.37 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…875cbacked Yankees | 56c | 240$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Mets | 43c | 232.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.8 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Mets | 44c | 228$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Mets | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Yankees | 58c | 226.55$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Yankees | 56c | 220$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Mets | 63c | 203$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.57 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mets | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yankees | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Mets | 42c | 199.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.99 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yankees | 22c | 186.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yankees | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yankees | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…b36cbacked Yankees | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Yankees | 13c | 167.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e29…5ec9backed Mets | 44c | 164.59$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.17 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Yankees | 38c | 157.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Mets | 44c | 144.72$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.04 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Mets | 44c | 137$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mets | 43c | 104.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.81 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yankees | 16c | 101.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yankees | 13c | 101.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yankees | 56c | 100.43$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.17 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Yankees | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Yankees | 14c | 95.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef7…4fd2backed Yankees | 57c | 90$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Mets | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Mets | 43c | 88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Yankees | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yankees | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…6efcbacked Mets | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…48f2backed Mets | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Yankees | 48c | 57.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…5c4cbacked Yankees | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Mets | 45c | 54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Yankees | 57c | 51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Mets | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…a24cbacked Yankees | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Mets | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Mets | 44c | 47.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Yankees | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Yankees | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.