MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95f6b0814cff01922a5e151c417aff52601ba23357b47da4e3ef0a16543b6039
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Reds, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $332,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $435,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Reds | 33c | 121,464$40,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,567.57 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Phillies | 79c | 25,388$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,387.82 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Reds | 32c | 25,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Phillies | 66c | 20,650$13,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,021 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Phillies | 68c | 20,212$13,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,467.72 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Phillies | 66c | 20,000$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,800 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 66c | 19,739$13,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,613.36 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Phillies | 67c | 13,714$9,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,553.16 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…293abacked Phillies | 68c | 11,934$8,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780.22 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies | 66c | 6,500$4,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 64c | 6,299$4,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.88 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Reds | 31c | 5,977$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.18 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Phillies | 68c | 5,147$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.06 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Reds | 23c | 4,462$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.92 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Phillies | 67c | 3,700$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Phillies | 50c | 3,641$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.72 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Phillies | 67c | 3,607$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.58 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Phillies | 69c | 3,206$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.7 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Reds | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 67c | 2,916$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.93 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Reds | 43c | 1,936$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Phillies | 70c | 1,838$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.46 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Phillies | 66c | 1,792$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.78 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Phillies | 64c | 1,600$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Phillies | 61c | 1,573$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.46 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbba5…cb7dbacked Phillies | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Phillies | 60c | 1,411$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.96 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Reds | 31c | 1,264$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.77 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0a56backed Phillies | 75c | 1,050$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Phillies | 66c | 1,030$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.3 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Reds | 49c | 1,022$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Reds | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Phillies | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Reds | 32c | 999.88$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.96 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Reds | 28c | 999.83$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.22 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Phillies | 54c | 919.62$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.94 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e93…a140backed Reds | 32c | 915.15$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Reds | 42c | 883$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.86 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Phillies | 70c | 810.25$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.09 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed Phillies | 67c | 805.51$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Reds | 31c | 795.7$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.67 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Phillies | 66c | 795$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.3 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Phillies | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Reds | 32c | 704.09$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.35 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Phillies | 74c | 697.67$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.83 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 68c | 512.11$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.86 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Phillies | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Reds | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Phillies | 61c | 469.64$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.4 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Reds | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Phillies | 68c | 405.88$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.88 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Reds | 39c | 397.7$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.1 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Phillies | 65c | 375.87$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.87 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Reds | 31c | 323$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Phillies | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Phillies | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Phillies | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Reds | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.74 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Reds | 32c | 299.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Reds | 33c | 299.26$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.75 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…340bbacked Phillies | 70c | 297$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Phillies | 68c | 293.45$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.45 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Phillies | 69c | 290.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.86 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Phillies | 69c | 290.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.51 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Phillies | 68c | 288.32$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.26 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Phillies | 71c | 280.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.39 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phillies | 63c | 270.27$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…08c6backed Reds | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Phillies | 68c | 255.88$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.88 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ce…9743backed Reds | 30c | 250$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Phillies | 73c | 219.95$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Phillies | 69c | 218.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.46 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Phillies | 67c | 213.28$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.17 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Phillies | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Reds | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Phillies | 67c | 199.85$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.95 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Reds | 47c | 195.92$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.91 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Reds | 5c | 190$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…a24cbacked Phillies | 66c | 181$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Phillies | 62c | 167.02$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Reds | 33c | 160$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 32c | 149.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Phillies | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Reds | 31c | 148.07$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Phillies | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Phillies | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Phillies | 78c | 145.09$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Phillies | 66c | 134.15$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Reds | 33c | 130.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Reds | 44c | 127.08$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Phillies | 73c | 118$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…b0debacked Phillies | 68c | 110.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc372…00aabacked Reds | 34c | 108.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Reds | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Reds | 31c | 97.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 65c | 87.31$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x794f…5818backed Phillies | 66c | 83.53$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c3…b35abacked Reds | 46c | 83.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.