MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63ed4f220ecd4a8ae620bb0103ebfdd402692a752452cf6373683373b3d110c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Rays, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x460f…9eb7backed Rays | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Orioles | 52c | 8,944$4,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,319.42 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 76c | 3,481$2,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.41 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 49c | 2,987$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.13 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Orioles | 51c | 2,951$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.08 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Orioles | 50c | 2,790$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.62 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Rays | 50c | 2,605$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.5 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Rays | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…b3d7backed Rays | 9c | 2,417$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.55 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Rays | 49c | 2,400$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Rays | 48c | 2,300$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Rays | 24c | 2,238$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rays | 26c | 2,212$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.49 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Rays | 49c | 2,200$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Rays | 49c | 2,046$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Rays | 6c | 1,900$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.9 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Rays | 2c | 1,883$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Orioles | 52c | 1,721$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.08 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Orioles | 51c | 1,632$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.51 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Rays | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Rays | 52c | 1,490$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rays | 32c | 1,285$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.91 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Rays | 49c | 1,022$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x123a…3260backed Rays | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Rays | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…69aebacked Rays | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Rays | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…8404backed Rays | 51c | 782$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.82 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…838fbacked Orioles | 49c | 782$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.82 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Rays | 2c | 665.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rays | 29c | 663.33$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Rays | 51c | 662.84$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.05 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Orioles | 49c | 614.7$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.5 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Rays | 14c | 570.34$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rays | 24c | 440.9$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.42 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Rays | 4c | 429.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Rays | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Orioles | 51c | 339.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.19 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f7…9385backed Orioles | 56c | 312.5$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Rays | 20c | 292.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 201 | 38.8%78 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Rays | 50c | 283.14$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.57 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Orioles | 52c | 207.21$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.46 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rays | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Orioles | 79c | 175$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Orioles | 50c | 172.2$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…9e40backed Rays | 12c | 170.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Rays | 49c | 163.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.32 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Orioles | 49c | 155.69$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.4 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…21d0backed Orioles | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…6f3bbacked Orioles | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Rays | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 50c | 130.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.01 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…87abbacked Rays | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rays | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Orioles | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Orioles | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Rays | 52c | 106.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Rays | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Rays | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Rays | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Orioles | 48c | 99.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Orioles | 52c | 84.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Orioles | 71c | 84.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Rays | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Rays | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Rays | 49c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rays | 23c | 68.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Orioles | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Rays | 29c | 62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Rays | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Rays | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…66f5backed Orioles | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Orioles | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Rays | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Rays | 49c | 40.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97da…d63bbacked Orioles | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…c14fbacked Rays | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…b798backed Rays | 46c | 39.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec9e…49a2backed Orioles | 51c | 39.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.41per pick | 45cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…d1cabacked Rays | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1434…05f3backed Rays | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…95bebacked Orioles | 51c | 37.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Orioles | 50c | 36.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…f004backed Rays | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d4…f320backed Rays | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…7629backed Rays | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Rays | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c1…1098backed Orioles | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed6c…8267backed Rays | 49c | 24.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Orioles | 49c | 23.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Orioles | 78c | 21.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Orioles | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Rays | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 355 | 51.5%183 W · 172 L | +24.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Rays | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…b20bbacked Rays | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c5…b71ebacked Orioles | 51c | 19.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.